Orion Group Holdings Stock Performance

ORN Stock  USD 13.15  0.22  1.70%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Orion Group holds a performance score of 8. The company holds a Beta of 2.35, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Orion Group will likely underperform. Please check Orion Group's downside variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether Orion Group's historical price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Orion Group Holdings are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unsteady basic indicators, Orion Group displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow30.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-11.5 M

Orion Group Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,100  in Orion Group Holdings on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  215.00  from holding Orion Group Holdings or generate 19.55% return on investment over 90 days. Orion Group Holdings is generating 0.3491% of daily returns assuming volatility of 3.398% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 30% of stocks are less volatile than Orion, and above 93% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Orion Group is expected to generate 4.51 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.51 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Orion Group Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Orion Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 13.15 90 days 13.15 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Orion Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Orion Group Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Orion Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.35 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Orion Group will likely underperform. Additionally Orion Group Holdings has an alpha of 0.238, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Orion Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Orion Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orion Group Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.7513.1516.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.6012.0015.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.5412.9416.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.1811.2213.27
Details

Orion Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Orion Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Orion Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Orion Group Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Orion Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.35
σ
Overall volatility
0.99
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Orion Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Orion Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Orion Group Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Orion Group Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 796.39 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (1.64 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 108.84 M.
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Orion Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Orion Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Orion Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Orion Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding34.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments28.3 M

Orion Group Fundamentals Growth

Orion Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Orion Group, and Orion Group fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Orion Stock performance.

About Orion Group Performance

By examining Orion Group's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Orion Group's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Orion Group is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Orion Group Holdings, Inc. operates as a specialty construction company in the building, industrial, and infrastructure sectors in the continental United States, Alaska, Canada, and the Caribbean Basin. Orion Group Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas. Orion Group operates under Engineering Construction classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 2447 people.

Things to note about Orion Group Holdings performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Orion Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Orion Group Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Orion Group Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 796.39 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (1.64 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 108.84 M.
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Evaluating Orion Group's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Orion Group's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Orion Group's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Orion Group's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Orion Group's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Orion Group's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Orion Group's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Orion Group's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Orion Group's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Orion Group's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Orion Group's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Orion Group Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Orion Group's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Orion Group Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Orion Group Holdings Stock:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Orion Group Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Will Stock sector continue expanding? Could Orion diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Orion Group. Anticipated expansion of Orion directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Orion Group data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Understanding Orion Group Holdings requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Orion's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Orion Group's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Orion Group's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Orion Group's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Orion Group should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Orion Group's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.