Otsuka (Germany) Performance

OTK Stock  EUR 16.40  0.70  4.09%   
The company holds a Beta of -0.13, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Otsuka are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Otsuka is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Otsuka has a negative expected return of -0.0162%. Please make sure to check Otsuka's kurtosis, and the relationship between the potential upside and day median price , to decide if Otsuka performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Otsuka has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, Otsuka is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0316
Payout Ratio
0.092
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
0.52
Ex Dividend Date
2026-06-29
1
Cantargia Q3 2025 slides First-ever profit driven by transformational Otsuka deal - Investing.com India
11/19/2025
2
Why Vera Therapeutics Stock Rocked the Market on Tuesday - MSN
12/02/2025
3
Otsuka Holdings Submits Commitment Letter to Obtain Science-Based Targets Validation for the Entire Otsuka Group - marketscreener.com
01/14/2026
4
UBS Group Upgrades Otsuka to Hold - MarketBeat
01/29/2026
5
Otsukas Profit Climbs 20 percent in 2025 - marketscreener.com
02/12/2026
  

Otsuka Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,679  in Otsuka on November 17, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (39.00) from holding Otsuka or give up 2.32% of portfolio value over 90 days. Otsuka is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 2.1191% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 19% of traded stocks are less volatile than Otsuka, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Otsuka is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.77 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

Otsuka Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Otsuka Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 16.40 90 days 16.40 
about 90.32
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Otsuka to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 90.32 (This Otsuka probability density function shows the probability of Otsuka Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Otsuka has a beta of -0.13. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Otsuka are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Otsuka is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Otsuka has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Otsuka Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Otsuka

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Otsuka. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.2716.3918.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.9014.0218.04
Details

Otsuka Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Otsuka is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Otsuka's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Otsuka, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Otsuka within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.50
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Otsuka Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Otsuka for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Otsuka can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Otsuka generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Otsukas Profit Climbs 20 percent in 2025 - marketscreener.com

Otsuka Fundamentals Growth

Otsuka Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Otsuka, and Otsuka fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Otsuka Stock performance.

About Otsuka Performance

By analyzing Otsuka's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Otsuka's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Otsuka has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Otsuka has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Otsuka Corporation provides system integration, support, and other services in Japan. Otsuka Corporation was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. OTSUKA CORP operates under Software - Infrastructure classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 8732 people.

Things to note about Otsuka performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Otsuka for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Otsuka help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Otsuka generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Otsukas Profit Climbs 20 percent in 2025 - marketscreener.com
Evaluating Otsuka's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Otsuka's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Otsuka's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Otsuka's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Otsuka's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Otsuka's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Otsuka's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Otsuka's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Otsuka's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Otsuka's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Otsuka's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Otsuka Stock analysis

When running Otsuka's price analysis, check to measure Otsuka's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Otsuka is operating at the current time. Most of Otsuka's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Otsuka's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Otsuka's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Otsuka to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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