Par Pacific Holdings Stock Performance

PARR Stock  USD 42.27  1.03  2.38%   
Par Pacific has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company holds a Beta of -0.051, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Par Pacific are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Par Pacific is likely to outperform the market. Par Pacific Holdings right now holds a risk of 2.69%. Please check Par Pacific Holdings potential upside, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Par Pacific Holdings will be following its historical price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Par Pacific Holdings are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, Par Pacific is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(2.38)
Five Day Return
5.68
Year To Date Return
18.01
Ten Year Return
85.48
All Time Return
1.8 K
Last Split Factor
1:10
Last Split Date
2014-01-29
1
Disposition of 25000 shares by William Pate of Par Pacific subject to Rule 16b-3
11/13/2025
2
Par Pacific At All-Time Highs, But Can The Rally Really Hold
11/18/2025
3
Is OMV Stock Outpacing Its Oils-Energy Peers This Year
12/04/2025
4
3 Oil Refining Stocks That Gained More Than 30 percent in 2025 - TradingView Track All Markets
12/23/2025
5
Is the Current Oil Price Favorable for VLOs Refining Operations
01/02/2026
6
Is Valero Energy Stock Too Expensive for Investors at Current Levels
01/05/2026
7
Acquisition by Phil Davidson of 566 shares of Par Pacific subject to Rule 16b-3
01/07/2026
8
Will the Refining Business Continue to be Favorable for Phillips 66
01/14/2026
9
Softness in Oil Price What Lies Ahead for VLOs Refining Operations - Finviz
01/23/2026
10
Valero Energys Q4 Earnings on the Deck Time to Buy or Wait - Finviz
01/26/2026
11
24,000 Shares in Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. PARR Acquired by Strs Ohio
01/29/2026
12
Par Pacific Holdings Valuation After Venezuela Policy Shifts And Analyst Outlook Changes
02/02/2026
13
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Given Average Recommendation of Moderate Buy by Brokerages
02/04/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow279.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-134 M

Par Pacific Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,107  in Par Pacific Holdings on November 12, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  120.00  from holding Par Pacific Holdings or generate 2.92% return on investment over 90 days. Par Pacific Holdings is currently generating 0.0834% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.6892% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 24% of stocks are less volatile than Par, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Par Pacific is expected to generate 3.32 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.32 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Par Pacific Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Par Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 42.27 90 days 42.27 
about 25.46
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Par Pacific to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 25.46 (This Par Pacific Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Par Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Par Pacific Holdings has a beta of -0.051 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Par Pacific are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Par Pacific Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Par Pacific Holdings has an alpha of 0.1054, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Par Pacific Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Par Pacific

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Par Pacific Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.4742.2645.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.4540.2443.03
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
41.4145.5050.51
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.580.921.10
Details

Par Pacific Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Par Pacific is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Par Pacific's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Par Pacific Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Par Pacific within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
3.62
Ir
Information ratio 0

Par Pacific Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Par Pacific for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Par Pacific Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Par Pacific Holdings currently holds 1.57 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 3.11, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Par Pacific Holdings has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Par Pacific's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 7.97 B. Net Loss for the year was (33.32 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.2 B.
Over 97.0% of Par Pacific shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Given Average Recommendation of Moderate Buy by Brokerages

Par Pacific Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Par Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Par Pacific's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Par Pacific's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding56.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments191.9 M

Par Pacific Fundamentals Growth

Par Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Par Pacific, and Par Pacific fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Par Stock performance.

About Par Pacific Performance

Assessing Par Pacific's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Par Pacific's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Par Pacific is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 49.48  36.28 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Capital Employed 0.02  0.02 
Return On Assets(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Equity(0.03)(0.03)

Things to note about Par Pacific Holdings performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Par Pacific for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Par Pacific Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Par Pacific Holdings currently holds 1.57 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 3.11, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Par Pacific Holdings has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Par Pacific's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 7.97 B. Net Loss for the year was (33.32 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.2 B.
Over 97.0% of Par Pacific shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Given Average Recommendation of Moderate Buy by Brokerages
Evaluating Par Pacific's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Par Pacific's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Par Pacific's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Par Pacific's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Par Pacific's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Par Pacific's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Par Pacific's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Par Pacific's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Par Pacific's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Par Pacific's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Par Pacific's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Par Stock Analysis

When running Par Pacific's price analysis, check to measure Par Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Par Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of Par Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Par Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Par Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Par Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.