Payson Total Return Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

PBFDX Fund  USD 38.95  0.56  1.46%   
The fund holds a Beta of 1.06, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Payson Total returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Payson Total is expected to follow.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Payson Total Return are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak fundamental indicators, Payson Total may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2026.
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1
Exclusive Sequoia Doesnt Want a King to Run Its 9 Billion Hedge Fund - The Wall Street Journal
12/05/2025
2
3 Balanced Mutual Funds to Counter Market Volatility - Zacks Investment Research
12/09/2025
Expense Ratio Date1st of August 2025
Expense Ratio0.8100
  

Payson Total Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,561  in Payson Total Return on October 12, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  334.00  from holding Payson Total Return or generate 9.38% return on investment over 90 days. Payson Total Return is currently producing 0.1496% returns and takes up 0.996% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 8% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Payson, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Payson Total is expected to generate 1.42 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.42 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.17 per unit of risk.

Payson Total Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
38.95
Please note that Payson Total's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Payson Total Return holds a recent Real Value of $38.5 per share. The prevailing price of the fund is $38.95. We determine the value of Payson Total Return from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we support acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Payson Total is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Payson Mutual Fund. However, Payson Total's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  38.95 Real  38.5 Hype  38.93 Naive  39.4
The intrinsic value of Payson Total's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Payson Total's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
38.50
Real Value
39.50
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Payson Total Return helps investors to forecast how Payson mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Payson Total more accurately as focusing exclusively on Payson Total's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
35.7537.4239.09
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.9338.9339.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
38.4039.4040.39
Details

Payson Total Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Payson Total's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Payson Total Return, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Payson Total's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.1502

High ReturnsBest Equity
Good Returns
Average Returns
Small ReturnsPBFDX
CashSmall RiskAverage RiskHigh RiskHuge Risk
Negative Returns
Based on monthly moving average Payson Total is performing at about 11% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Payson Total by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Payson Total Fundamentals Growth

Payson Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Payson Total, and Payson Total fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Payson Mutual Fund performance.

About Payson Total Performance

Evaluating Payson Total's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Payson Total has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Payson Total has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests primarily in common stock and convertible securities of large and mid capitalization domestic companies. Its investment adviser defines large capitalization domestic companies as those companies with market capitalizations in excess of 12 billion and mid capitalization domestic companies as those companies with market capitalizations in the range of 2 billion to 12 billion. The fund is non-diversified.

Things to note about Payson Total Return performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Payson Total for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Payson Total Return help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains all of its assets in stocks
Evaluating Payson Total's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Payson Total's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Payson Total's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Payson Total's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Payson Total's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Payson Total's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Payson Total's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Payson Total's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Payson Total's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Payson Total's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Payson Total's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Payson Mutual Fund

Payson Total financial ratios help investors to determine whether Payson Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Payson with respect to the benefits of owning Payson Total security.
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