Innovator Sp 500 Etf Performance

PDEC Etf  USD 43.77  0.04  0.09%   
The etf retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.41, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Innovator's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Innovator is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Innovator SP 500 are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound technical and fundamental indicators, Innovator is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more
1
Understanding Momentum Shifts in - news.stocktradersdaily.com
11/21/2025
2
Wheaton-based buffer ETF firm Innovator sells to Goldman Sachs for 2 billion - Chicago Tribune
12/01/2025
3
Behavioral Patterns of PDEC and Institutional Flows - Stock Traders Daily
12/24/2025
4
Trading Systems Reacting to Volatility - Stock Traders Daily
01/26/2026

Innovator Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,255  in Innovator SP 500 on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  122.00  from holding Innovator SP 500 or generate 2.87% return on investment over 90 days. Innovator SP 500 is currently generating 0.0472% in daily expected returns and assumes 0.4229% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 3% of etfs are less volatile than Innovator, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Innovator is expected to generate 1.12 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 1.78 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Innovator SP 500 extending back to December 02, 2019. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Innovator stands at 43.77, as last reported on the 29th of January, with the highest price reaching 43.81 and the lowest price hitting 43.73 during the day.
3 y Volatility
7.74
200 Day MA
41.0077
1 y Volatility
5.97
50 Day MA
43.2313
Inception Date
2019-11-29
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Innovator Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Innovator Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 43.77 90 days 43.77 
about 10.07
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Innovator to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 10.07 (This Innovator SP 500 probability density function shows the probability of Innovator Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Innovator has a beta of 0.41 indicating as returns on the market go up, Innovator average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Innovator SP 500 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Innovator SP 500 has an alpha of 0.016, implying that it can generate a 0.016 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Innovator Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Innovator

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Innovator SP 500. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Innovator's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
43.3943.8144.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
43.1343.5543.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
43.3943.8144.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
43.3443.6243.91
Details

Innovator Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Innovator is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Innovator's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Innovator SP 500, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Innovator within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.41
σ
Overall volatility
0.54
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Innovator Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Innovator for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Innovator SP 500 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Trading Systems Reacting to Volatility - Stock Traders Daily
The fund maintains 205.85% of its assets in stocks

Innovator Fundamentals Growth

Innovator Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Innovator, and Innovator fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Innovator Etf performance.
Total Asset206.31 M

About Innovator Performance

By analyzing Innovator's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Innovator's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Innovator has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Innovator has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in FLexible EXchange Options that reference the SPDR SP 500 ETF Trust . Innovator is traded on BATS Exchange in the United States.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Trading Systems Reacting to Volatility - Stock Traders Daily
The fund maintains 205.85% of its assets in stocks
When determining whether Innovator SP 500 is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Innovator Etf is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Innovator Sp 500 Etf. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Innovator Sp 500 Etf:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Innovator SP 500. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.
You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Investors evaluate Innovator SP 500 using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Innovator's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Innovator's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Innovator's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Innovator should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Innovator's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.