Polaris Industries Stock Performance

PII Stock  USD 69.09  1.83  2.58%   
The company holds a Beta of 1.7, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Polaris Industries will likely underperform. At this point, Polaris Industries has a negative expected return of -0.0076%. Please make sure to check Polaris Industries' treynor ratio, kurtosis, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and day median price , to decide if Polaris Industries performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Polaris Industries has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fairly strong forward indicators, Polaris Industries is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(2.58)
Five Day Return
0.86
Year To Date Return
3.93
Ten Year Return
(14.00)
All Time Return
K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0388
Payout Ratio
0.0323
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
2.68
Dividend Date
2025-12-15
1
Acquisition by Michael Speetzen of 216 shares of Polaris Industries subject to Rule 16b-3
12/12/2025
 
Polaris Industries dividend paid on 15th of December 2025
12/15/2025
2
Urban to Adventure Heybikes Seven-Model CES Showcase Covers Every Riders Dream
01/07/2026
3
Solidarity flotilla to Greenland planned by travel firm as Trump proposes land grab
01/12/2026
4
Polaris Capital Management LLC Decreases Stake in Popular, Inc. BPOP
01/13/2026
5
Seaport Initiates Polaris , Cites Strong Outdoor Demand and Better Dealer Backdrop
01/15/2026
6
Q3 Earnings Roundup Polaris And The Rest Of The Leisure Products Segment
01/20/2026
7
The turn to Europe is inevitable
01/21/2026
8
Halcones Precious Metals Announces Warrant Extension
01/22/2026
9
Indian Motorcycle Changed Owners, And Now More Than 200 Jobs Are Gone
01/23/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow382.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-270.9 M

Polaris Industries Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  7,047  in Polaris Industries on October 27, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (138.00) from holding Polaris Industries or give up 1.96% of portfolio value over 90 days. Polaris Industries is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.2321% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 20% of stocks are less volatile than Polaris, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Polaris Industries is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.05 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.0 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Polaris Industries Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Polaris Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 69.09 90 days 69.09 
about 21.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Polaris Industries to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 21.5 (This Polaris Industries probability density function shows the probability of Polaris Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.7 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Polaris Industries will likely underperform. Additionally Polaris Industries has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Polaris Industries Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Polaris Industries

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Polaris Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
66.8669.0971.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
54.6856.9176.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
67.4969.7271.96
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
61.7467.8575.31
Details

Polaris Industries Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Polaris Industries is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Polaris Industries' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Polaris Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Polaris Industries within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.70
σ
Overall volatility
2.80
Ir
Information ratio -0.0011

Polaris Industries Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Polaris Industries for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Polaris Industries can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Polaris Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of December 2025 Polaris Industries paid $ 0.67 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Indian Motorcycle Changed Owners, And Now More Than 200 Jobs Are Gone

Polaris Industries Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Polaris Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Polaris Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Polaris Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding56.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments287.8 M

Polaris Industries Fundamentals Growth

Polaris Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Polaris Industries, and Polaris Industries fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Polaris Stock performance.

About Polaris Industries Performance

By evaluating Polaris Industries' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Polaris Industries' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Polaris Industries has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Polaris Industries has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 99.12  52.76 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Capital Employed 0.08  0.07 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.08  0.07 

Things to note about Polaris Industries performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Polaris Industries for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Polaris Industries help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Polaris Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of December 2025 Polaris Industries paid $ 0.67 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Indian Motorcycle Changed Owners, And Now More Than 200 Jobs Are Gone
Evaluating Polaris Industries' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Polaris Industries' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Polaris Industries' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Polaris Industries' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Polaris Industries' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Polaris Industries' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Polaris Industries' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Polaris Industries' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Polaris Industries' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Polaris Industries' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Polaris Industries' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Polaris Industries' price analysis, check to measure Polaris Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Polaris Industries is operating at the current time. Most of Polaris Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Polaris Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Polaris Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Polaris Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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