Polaris Industries Stock Market Outlook
| PII Stock | USD 66.09 0.66 0.99% |
Under 57% of Polaris Industries' investor base is looking to short. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading Polaris Industries stock suggests that many investors are alarmed at this time. Polaris Industries' investing sentiment shows overall attitude of investors towards Polaris Industries.
Comfort Level 43
Impartial
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Polaris Industries' input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Polaris Industries.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentBearish | Insider SentimentDisposing |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Polaris Industries is 'Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Polaris Industries' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Execute Polaris Industries Advice
The Polaris recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Polaris Industries. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Polaris Industries or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Polaris Industries' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Buy
Market Performance | Soft | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
For the selected time horizon Polaris Industries has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0339, Jensen Alpha of (0.09), Total Risk Alpha of (0.20), Sortino Ratio of (0.01) and Treynor Ratio of 0.041Macroaxis provides unbiased recommendation on Polaris Industries that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Polaris Industries. Our trade recommendations engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Polaris Industries is not overpriced, please check all Polaris Industries fundamentals, including its total debt, target price, and the relationship between the ebitda and cash flow from operations . Given that Polaris Industries has a price to earning of 13.91 X, we recommend you to check out Polaris Industries market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.
Polaris Industries Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 7.15 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (464.8 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.46 B. | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Black Duck Announces MSSP Agreement with Accenture, Combining World-Class Application Security Technology and Services |
Polaris Industries Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Polaris Industries' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Polaris Industries' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Polaris Industries daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Polaris Industries price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Polaris Industries returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Polaris Industries.
| Mean Return | 0.08 | Value At Risk | -2.78 | Potential Upside | 4.43 | Standard Deviation | 2.31 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Polaris Industries historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Polaris Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2025-06-30 | 1.2 M | Proshare Advisors Llc | 2025-06-30 | 1.1 M | Auto-owners Insurance Co | 2025-06-30 | 1 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2025-06-30 | 959.3 K | Artisan Partners Limited Partnership | 2025-06-30 | 930.5 K | Two Sigma Advisers, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 826.9 K | Confluence Investment Management Llc | 2025-06-30 | 824.8 K | Gotham Asset Management, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 775.1 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2025-06-30 | 749.9 K | Blackrock Inc | 2025-06-30 | 6.9 M | Capital World Investors | 2025-06-30 | 6.8 M |
Polaris Industries Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (503.1M) | (391.1M) | 115.1M | 39.5M | 183.6M | 192.8M | |
| Change In Cash | (128.4M) | (189.4M) | 43.2M | (79.9M) | (66.7M) | (63.4M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (4.6M) | 202M | 513.2M | 6.5M | 558.1M | 586.0M | |
| Depreciation | 237.1M | 232.8M | 258.9M | 286.3M | 286.5M | 300.8M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 34.2M | (41.5M) | (42.4M) | (24.2M) | 446.1M | 468.4M | |
| Dividends Paid | 153.4M | 150M | (147.3M) | (147.7M) | (150.3M) | (142.8M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 298.3M | 306.6M | 412.6M | 261.7M | 182.9M | 137.1M | |
| Net Income | 494.3M | 603.4M | 502.8M | 111.2M | (464.8M) | (441.6M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 529.1M | 339.7M | 382.9M | 303M | 236.3M | 157.8M | |
| Change To Netincome | 38.1M | (35M) | 110M | 800K | 920K | 874K | |
| Investments | (5.6M) | (324.6M) | (512.3M) | (270.9M) | (243.8M) | (231.6M) | |
| Change Receivables | 6.8M | (56.2M) | (200K) | (122.6M) | (110.3M) | (104.8M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 351.3M | 257.7M | (158.2M) | 165.8M | 190.7M | 137.8M |
Polaris Industries Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Polaris Industries or Leisure Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Polaris Industries' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Polaris stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.70 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Polaris Industries Volatility Alert
Polaris Industries has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.79 and kurtosis of 0.52. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Polaris Industries' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Polaris Industries' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Polaris Industries Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Polaris Industries' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Polaris Industries' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Polaris Industries and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Polaris Industries or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Polaris Industries' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Polaris Industries by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Polaris Industries to competition |
| Fundamentals | Polaris Industries | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.44 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0049 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.06) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.01) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 5.21 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 56.25 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 6.45 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 93.55 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 6.2 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 13.91 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 4.60 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.52 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 7.15 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.46 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (114 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (464.8 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 138 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 5.62 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.54 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 2.20 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.28 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 14.56 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 741 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.99 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (8.06) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 3.34 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 68.38 | |
| Number Of Employees | 15 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.19 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 3.75 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 4.89 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 148.9 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 339.2 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Gwenne Henricks of 496 shares of Polaris Industries at 61.68 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Polaris Industries Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Polaris . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 26932.87 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.20) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 66.37 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 66.28 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.61) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.66) |
Polaris Industries Target Price Consensus
Polaris target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Polaris Industries' target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 17 | Buy |
Most Polaris analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Polaris stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Polaris Industries, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationPolaris Industries Target Price Projection
Polaris Industries' current and average target prices are 66.09 and 68.38, respectively. The current price of Polaris Industries is the price at which Polaris Industries is currently trading. On the other hand, Polaris Industries' target price is what analysts think the stock is worth. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Current Price
Polaris Industries Market Quote on 12th of February 2026
Target Price
Analyst Consensus On Polaris Industries Target Price
Polaris Industries Analyst Ratings
Polaris Industries' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Polaris Industries stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Polaris Industries' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Polaris Industries' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Analyst Consensus Breakdown
Average Consensus Estimates
About Polaris Industries Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Polaris Industries? Buying financial instruments such as Polaris Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Polaris Industries in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Gold and Gold Mining Thematic Idea Now
Gold and Gold Mining
Large and mid-size companies, ETFs and funds that are either investing, exploring or producing, gold or indirectly involved in trading or making gold products. The Gold and Gold Mining theme has 100 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Gold and Gold Mining Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Check out Polaris Industries Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Polaris Stock please use our How to Invest in Polaris Industries guide.You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Is there potential for Leisure Products market expansion? Will Polaris introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Polaris Industries. Anticipated expansion of Polaris directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Polaris Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.90) | Dividend Share 2.68 | Earnings Share (8.06) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.09 |
Polaris Industries's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Polaris's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Polaris Industries' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since Polaris Industries' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Polaris Industries' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Polaris Industries should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Polaris Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.