Porch Group Stock Performance

PRCH Stock  USD 8.07  0.14  1.77%   
The company holds a Beta of 2.51, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Porch will likely underperform. At this point, Porch Group has a negative expected return of -0.87%. Please make sure to check Porch's kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the day median price and relative strength index , to decide if Porch Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Porch Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.77
Five Day Return
(2.77)
Year To Date Return
(12.47)
Ten Year Return
(18.48)
All Time Return
(18.48)
1
Porch Group to attend four investor events in NovDec 2025 incl. KBW - Stock Titan
11/10/2025
2
Acquisition by Vengalil Regi of 70113 shares of Porch subject to Rule 16b-3
11/21/2025
3
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. Sells 500,000 Shares of Porch Group, Inc. PRCH - MarketBeat
11/26/2025
4
Acquisition by Shawn Tabak of 15259 shares of Porch subject to Rule 16b-3
12/01/2025
5
Disposition of 22216 shares by Shawn Tabak of Porch at 9.52 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/04/2025
6
Should Investors Be Concerned After G2 Investment Partners Unloaded 10 Million of Life360 Stock
12/05/2025
7
Disposition of 10706 shares by Shawn Tabak of Porch at 9.9928 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/11/2025
8
PE Ratio Insights for Porch Group
12/12/2025
9
Disposition of 24294 shares by Shawn Tabak of Porch at 9.6636 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/15/2025
10
Porch Group And 2 Other Growth Stocks Insiders Are Confident In
12/30/2025
11
Porch Group Shares Down 5.3 percent Heres What Happened
01/06/2026
12
Porch Group Trading Down 6.9 percent - Whats Next - MarketBeat
01/16/2026
13
Porch Group to Release Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings on February 11, 2026
01/27/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow297.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-45.1 M

Porch Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,505  in Porch Group on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (698.00) from holding Porch Group or give up 46.38% of portfolio value over 90 days. Porch Group is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 5.2962% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 47% of stocks are less volatile than Porch, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Porch is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 7.02 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.16 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Porch Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Porch Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 8.07 90 days 8.07 
about 82.34
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Porch to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 82.34 (This Porch Group probability density function shows the probability of Porch Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.51 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Porch will likely underperform. Additionally Porch Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Porch Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Porch

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Porch Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Porch's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.818.0713.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.087.3412.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.007.2612.51
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
16.0417.6219.56
Details

Porch Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Porch is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Porch's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Porch Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Porch within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.51
σ
Overall volatility
2.38
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Porch Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Porch for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Porch Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Porch Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Porch Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Porch Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 437.85 M. Net Loss for the year was (32.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 324.9 M.
Porch Group currently holds about 279.17 M in cash with (31.68 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.8.
Roughly 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Should Progress Softwares AI-Driven, Recurring Revenue Milestones Prompt Portfolio Moves From PRGS Investors

Porch Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Porch Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Porch's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Porch's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding99.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments191.7 M

Porch Fundamentals Growth

Porch Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Porch, and Porch fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Porch Stock performance.

About Porch Performance

By evaluating Porch's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Porch's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Porch has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Porch has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.05)(0.06)
Return On Capital Employed(0.19)(0.18)
Return On Assets(0.04)(0.04)
Return On Equity 0.68  0.56 

Things to note about Porch Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Porch for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Porch Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Porch Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Porch Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Porch Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 437.85 M. Net Loss for the year was (32.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 324.9 M.
Porch Group currently holds about 279.17 M in cash with (31.68 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.8.
Roughly 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Should Progress Softwares AI-Driven, Recurring Revenue Milestones Prompt Portfolio Moves From PRGS Investors
Evaluating Porch's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Porch's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Porch's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Porch's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Porch's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Porch's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Porch's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Porch's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Porch's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Porch's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Porch's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Porch's price analysis, check to measure Porch's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Porch is operating at the current time. Most of Porch's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Porch's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Porch's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Porch to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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