Phillips 66 Stock Performance

PSX Stock  USD 156.26  5.24  3.24%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Phillips holds a performance score of 9. The company holds a Beta of 0.69, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Phillips' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Phillips is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Phillips' treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the expected short fall and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Phillips' historical price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Phillips 66 are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly uncertain basic indicators, Phillips showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(3.24)
Five Day Return
1
Year To Date Return
19.68
Ten Year Return
107.79
All Time Return
359.59
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0315
Payout Ratio
0.7342
Forward Dividend Rate
5.08
Dividend Date
2025-12-01
Ex Dividend Date
2026-02-23
 
Phillips dividend paid on 1st of December 2025
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Begin Period Cash Flow1.7 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-2 B

Phillips Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  13,665  in Phillips 66 on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,961  from holding Phillips 66 or generate 14.35% return on investment over 90 days. Phillips 66 is generating 0.2451% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.0882% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 18% of stocks are less volatile than Phillips, and above 96% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Phillips is expected to generate 2.69 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.69 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

Phillips Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Phillips Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 156.26 90 days 156.26 
about 1.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Phillips to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.5 (This Phillips 66 probability density function shows the probability of Phillips Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Phillips has a beta of 0.69 indicating as returns on the market go up, Phillips average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Phillips 66 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Phillips 66 has an alpha of 0.1639, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Phillips Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Phillips

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Phillips 66. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Phillips' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
154.54156.66158.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
140.63162.91165.03
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
141.69155.70172.83
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.822.072.59
Details

Phillips Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Phillips is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Phillips' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Phillips 66, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Phillips within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.69
σ
Overall volatility
7.74
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Phillips Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Phillips for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Phillips 66 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from foxnews.com: Bijou Phillips hospitalized, pleads for kidney donor as she fights for more time with daughter

Phillips Fundamentals Growth

Phillips Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Phillips, and Phillips fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Phillips Stock performance.

About Phillips Performance

Evaluating Phillips' performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Phillips has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Phillips has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 9.49  9.65 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Capital Employed 0.04  0.05 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Equity 0.07  0.11 

Things to note about Phillips 66 performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Phillips for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Phillips 66 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from foxnews.com: Bijou Phillips hospitalized, pleads for kidney donor as she fights for more time with daughter
Evaluating Phillips' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Phillips' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Phillips' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Phillips' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Phillips' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Phillips' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Phillips' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Phillips' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Phillips' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Phillips' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Phillips' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Phillips Stock Analysis

When running Phillips' price analysis, check to measure Phillips' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Phillips is operating at the current time. Most of Phillips' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Phillips' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Phillips' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Phillips to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.