Replimune Group Stock Performance

REPL Stock  USD 7.56  0.15  1.95%   
The company holds a Beta of 0.89, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Replimune returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Replimune is expected to follow. At this point, Replimune Group has a negative expected return of -0.44%. Please make sure to check Replimune's treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Replimune Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Replimune Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in February 2026. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.95)
Five Day Return
5
Year To Date Return
(15.06)
Ten Year Return
(50.13)
All Time Return
(50.13)
1
Replimune Group GAAP EPS of -0.90 misses by 0.11
11/06/2025
2
Disposition of 7248 shares by Xynos Konstantinos of Replimune at 9.1 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/17/2025
3
Disposition of 10000 shares by Sushil Patel of Replimune at 11.13 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/02/2025
4
Saturn V Capital Management LP Takes 1.20 Million Position in Replimune Group, Inc. REPL - MarketBeat
12/05/2025
5
Disposition of 3169 shares by Dhingra Kapil of Replimune at 1.75 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/09/2025
6
Replimune Group Director Kapil Dhingra Sells 3,169 Shares - MarketBeat
12/12/2025
7
Replimune Group Earns Relative Strength Rating Upgrade Hits Key Benchmark - Investors Business Daily
12/15/2025
8
Acquisition by Andrew Schwendenman of 10000 shares of Replimune subject to Rule 16b-3
12/19/2025
9
Acquisition by Emily Hill of 67500 shares of Replimune at 8.4 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/26/2025
10
Disposition of 9154 shares by Emily Hill of Replimune at 5.37 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/30/2025
11
Replimune Group Shares Down 6.4 percent Whats Next
01/02/2026
12
Replimune Group Sees Large Volume Increase - Time to Buy - MarketBeat
01/21/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow76.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-23.8 M

Replimune Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,021  in Replimune Group on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (265.00) from holding Replimune Group or give up 25.95% of portfolio value over 90 days. Replimune Group is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.3466% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 30% of stocks are less volatile than Replimune, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Replimune is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.48 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.13 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

Replimune Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Replimune Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 7.56 90 days 7.56 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Replimune to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Replimune Group probability density function shows the probability of Replimune Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Replimune has a beta of 0.89 indicating Replimune Group market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Replimune is expected to follow. Additionally Replimune Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Replimune Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Replimune

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Replimune Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.237.5610.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.987.3110.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.317.6310.96
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.4412.5713.95
Details

Replimune Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Replimune is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Replimune's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Replimune Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Replimune within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.89
σ
Overall volatility
0.95
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Replimune Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Replimune for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Replimune Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Replimune Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Replimune Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Replimune Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (247.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Replimune Group currently holds about 395.08 M in cash with (192.25 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.01, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Vir Biotechnology Top 10 Nasdaq Stocks Spotlight on Research

Replimune Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Replimune Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Replimune's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Replimune's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding80.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments483.8 M

Replimune Fundamentals Growth

Replimune Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Replimune, and Replimune fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Replimune Stock performance.

About Replimune Performance

By examining Replimune's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Replimune's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Replimune is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.52)(0.54)
Return On Capital Employed(0.62)(0.65)
Return On Assets(0.52)(0.54)
Return On Equity(0.68)(0.65)

Things to note about Replimune Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Replimune for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Replimune Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Replimune Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Replimune Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Replimune Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (247.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Replimune Group currently holds about 395.08 M in cash with (192.25 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.01, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Vir Biotechnology Top 10 Nasdaq Stocks Spotlight on Research
Evaluating Replimune's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Replimune's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Replimune's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Replimune's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Replimune's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Replimune's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Replimune's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Replimune's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Replimune's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Replimune's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Replimune's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Replimune Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Replimune's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Replimune's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Replimune Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Replimune Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Replimune. If investors know Replimune will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Replimune listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(3.47)
Return On Assets
(0.45)
Return On Equity
(0.96)
The market value of Replimune Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Replimune that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Replimune's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Replimune's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Replimune's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Replimune's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Replimune's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Replimune is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Replimune's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.