Direxion Daily Retail Etf Performance

RETL Etf  USD 9.65  0.04  0.41%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 3.58, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Direxion Daily will likely underperform.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Direxion Daily Retail are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite unfluctuating basic indicators, Direxion Daily disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
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Direxion Daily Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  794.00  in Direxion Daily Retail on November 13, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  171.00  from holding Direxion Daily Retail or generate 21.54% return on investment over 90 days. Direxion Daily Retail is currently generating 0.3882% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.7646% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 33% of etfs are less volatile than Direxion, and 93% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Direxion Daily is expected to generate 4.84 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.84 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Direxion Daily Retail extending back to July 14, 2010. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Direxion Daily stands at 9.65, as last reported on the 11th of February 2026, with the highest price reaching 10.03 and the lowest price hitting 9.55 during the day.
3 y Volatility
67.88
200 Day MA
8.8205
1 y Volatility
56.75
50 Day MA
9.9372
Inception Date
2010-07-14
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Direxion Daily Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Direxion Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.65 90 days 9.65 
about 42.95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Direxion Daily to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 42.95 (This Direxion Daily Retail probability density function shows the probability of Direxion Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the etf has the beta coefficient of 3.58 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Direxion Daily will likely underperform. Additionally Direxion Daily Retail has an alpha of 0.0195, implying that it can generate a 0.0195 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Direxion Daily Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Direxion Daily

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Direxion Daily Retail. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Direxion Daily's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.779.5713.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.968.7612.56
Details

Direxion Daily Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Direxion Daily is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Direxion Daily's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Direxion Daily Retail, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Direxion Daily within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones3.58
σ
Overall volatility
1.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Direxion Daily Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Direxion Daily for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Direxion Daily Retail can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Direxion Daily had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Can XRP hold support amid weak retail activity and steady ETF inflows - FXStreet
Direxion Daily Retail created five year return of -17.0%

Direxion Daily Fundamentals Growth

Direxion Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Direxion Daily, and Direxion Daily fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Direxion Etf performance.

About Direxion Daily Performance

By examining Direxion Daily's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Direxion Daily's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Direxion Daily is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in financial instruments, such as swap agreements, securities of the index, and ETFs that track the index and other financial instruments that provide daily leveraged exposure to the index or to ETFs that track the index. Retail Bull is traded on NYSEARCA Exchange in the United States.
Direxion Daily had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Can XRP hold support amid weak retail activity and steady ETF inflows - FXStreet
Direxion Daily Retail created five year return of -17.0%
When determining whether Direxion Daily Retail is a strong investment it is important to analyze Direxion Daily's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Direxion Daily's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Direxion Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Direxion Daily Retail. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
The market value of Direxion Daily Retail is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Direxion that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Direxion Daily's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Direxion Daily's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Direxion Daily's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Direxion Daily's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Direxion Daily's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Direxion Daily should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Direxion Daily's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.