Rafael Holdings Stock Performance

RFL Stock  USD 1.20  0.04  3.23%   
The company holds a Beta of -0.15, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Rafael Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Rafael Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Rafael Holdings right now holds a risk of 3.74%. Please check Rafael Holdings value at risk, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and price action indicator , to decide if Rafael Holdings will be following its historical price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Rafael Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent technical and fundamental indicators, Rafael Holdings is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors. ...more
Last Split Factor
1014:1000
Last Split Date
2025-05-09
1
Rafael Holdings issues warrants in connection with Cyclo Therapeutics merger - Investing.com
12/02/2025
2
Rafael Holdings Reports First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Financial Results - marketscreener.com
12/11/2025
3
Rafael Issues Quarterly Earnings Results - MarketBeat
12/12/2025
4
Why Rafael Holdings Inc. Equity Warrant stock is in analyst buy zone - July 2025 Closing Moves Weekly Top Gainers Trade List - DonanmHaber
12/19/2025
5
What analysts say about Rafael Holdings Inc Equity Warrant stock - Value Stock Picks Big Gains Small Investment - earlytimes.in
12/23/2025
6
Rafael Holdings Inc Equity Warrant Stock Analysis and Forecast - Trading Volume Surges Small Investment Wealth Growth - earlytimes.in
12/30/2025
7
Rafael Holdings elects directors, approves equity plan amendment at annual meeting - Investing.com UK
01/12/2026
8
Can Rafael Holdings Inc Equity Warrant sustain earnings growth - Market Sentiment Report Verified Technical Signals - baoquankhu1.vn
01/16/2026
9
Acquisition by Grayson Alan of 6562 shares of Rafael Holdings at 1.27 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/28/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow2.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities44 M

Rafael Holdings Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  122.00  in Rafael Holdings on November 17, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (2.00) from holding Rafael Holdings or give up 1.64% of portfolio value over 90 days. Rafael Holdings is generating 0.0425% of daily returns assuming volatility of 3.7442% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 33% of stocks are less volatile than Rafael, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Rafael Holdings is expected to generate 2.37 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.9 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

Rafael Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Rafael Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.20 90 days 1.20 
about 69.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rafael Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 69.78 (This Rafael Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Rafael Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Rafael Holdings has a beta of -0.15 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Rafael Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Rafael Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Rafael Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Rafael Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Rafael Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rafael Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.204.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.074.85
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Rafael Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Rafael Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Rafael Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Rafael Holdings.

Rafael Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rafael Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rafael Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rafael Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rafael Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Rafael Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rafael Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rafael Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rafael Holdings may become a speculative penny stock
Rafael Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 917 K. Reported Net Loss for the year was (30.64 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 923 K.
Rafael Holdings has about 52.77 M in cash with (18.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.39, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Rafael Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 38.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Acquisition by Grayson Alan of 6562 shares of Rafael Holdings at 1.27 subject to Rule 16b-3

Rafael Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rafael Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rafael Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rafael Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding29.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments52.8 M

Rafael Holdings Fundamentals Growth

Rafael Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Rafael Holdings, and Rafael Holdings fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Rafael Stock performance.

About Rafael Holdings Performance

By examining Rafael Holdings' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Rafael Holdings' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Rafael Holdings is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 218.74  194.44 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.57)(0.54)
Return On Capital Employed(0.29)(0.31)
Return On Assets(0.31)(0.32)
Return On Equity(0.37)(0.39)

Things to note about Rafael Holdings performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Rafael Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Rafael Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rafael Holdings may become a speculative penny stock
Rafael Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 917 K. Reported Net Loss for the year was (30.64 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 923 K.
Rafael Holdings has about 52.77 M in cash with (18.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.39, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Rafael Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 38.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Acquisition by Grayson Alan of 6562 shares of Rafael Holdings at 1.27 subject to Rule 16b-3
Evaluating Rafael Holdings' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Rafael Holdings' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Rafael Holdings' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Rafael Holdings' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Rafael Holdings' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Rafael Holdings' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Rafael Holdings' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Rafael Holdings' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Rafael Holdings' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Rafael Holdings' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Rafael Holdings' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Rafael Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Rafael Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Rafael Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Rafael Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Rafael Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
For more information on how to buy Rafael Stock please use our How to buy in Rafael Stock guide.
You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rafael Holdings. Anticipated expansion of Rafael directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Rafael Holdings assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share
(0.87)
Revenue Per Share
0.028
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.875
Return On Assets
(0.20)
Return On Equity
(0.38)
Investors evaluate Rafael Holdings using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Rafael Holdings' intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Rafael Holdings' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Rafael Holdings' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Rafael Holdings should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Rafael Holdings' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.