Supercom Stock Performance
| SPCB Stock | USD 9.09 0.41 4.72% |
The entity has a beta of 1.68, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Supercom will likely underperform. At this point, Supercom has a negative expected return of -0.26%. Please make sure to validate Supercom's accumulation distribution, and the relationship between the potential upside and day median price , to decide if Supercom performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Supercom has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in February 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 0.23 | Five Day Return (2.47) | Year To Date Return (6.06) | Ten Year Return (99.16) | All Time Return (99.93) |
Last Split Factor 1:20 | Last Split Date 2024-08-22 |
1 | SuperCom Reports Record Net Income of 6 Million and Non-GAAP EPS of 2.17 for the First Nine Months of 2025 | 11/13/2025 |
2 | SuperCom Wins New EM Service Provider Contract in Missouri, Displacing Incumbent | 11/17/2025 |
3 | Does SuperCom Have A Healthy Balance Sheet | 11/28/2025 |
4 | SuperCom Secures First Texas Electronic Monitoring Contract - Barchart.com | 12/08/2025 |
5 | Is SuperCom Ltd. stock resilient to inflation - July 2025 Decliners Risk Managed Investment Signals - ulpravda.ru | 12/18/2025 |
6 | Why Price Action Is Critical for Tactical Trading - Stock Traders Daily | 12/26/2025 |
7 | SuperCom Wins National Electronic Monitoring Contract in Western European Country | 01/06/2026 |
8 | At US7.91, Is It Time To Put SuperCom Ltd. On Your Watch List | 01/09/2026 |
9 | SuperCom Wins Third Electronic Monitoring Contract in North Carolina | 01/22/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 5.6 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -3.3 M |
Supercom Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,123 in Supercom on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (214.00) from holding Supercom or give up 19.06% of portfolio value over 90 days. Supercom is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.016% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 36% of stocks are less volatile than Supercom, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Supercom Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Supercom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 9.09 | 90 days | 9.09 | about 63.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Supercom to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 63.86 (This Supercom probability density function shows the probability of Supercom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.68 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Supercom will likely underperform. Additionally Supercom has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Supercom Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Supercom
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Supercom. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Supercom's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Supercom Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Supercom is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Supercom's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Supercom, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Supercom within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.68 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.93 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Supercom Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Supercom for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Supercom can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Supercom generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Supercom has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Supercom has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Supercom currently holds about 2.91 M in cash with (1.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08. | |
| Roughly 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: SuperCom Wins Third Electronic Monitoring Contract in North Carolina |
Supercom Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Supercom Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Supercom's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Supercom's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.5 M |
Supercom Fundamentals Growth
Supercom Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Supercom, and Supercom fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Supercom Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.15 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0112 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.16 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.10 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 50.03 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 4.68 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | (2.67) X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.09 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.52 X | ||||
| Revenue | 27.64 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 15.16 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 5.46 M | ||||
| Net Income | 661 K | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 2.91 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.08 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 30.73 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 8.91 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 5.22 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 8.27 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (1.29 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (43.50) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 40.65 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 45.92 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (106.29 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 22.52 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 48.08 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 10.24 M | ||||
About Supercom Performance
By analyzing Supercom's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Supercom's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Supercom has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Supercom has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 107.15 | 117.94 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.02 | 0.02 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.02) | (0.02) | |
| Return On Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.07 | 0.06 |
Things to note about Supercom performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Supercom for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Supercom help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Supercom generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Supercom has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Supercom has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Supercom currently holds about 2.91 M in cash with (1.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08. | |
| Roughly 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: SuperCom Wins Third Electronic Monitoring Contract in North Carolina |
- Analyzing Supercom's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Supercom's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Supercom's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Supercom's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Supercom's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Supercom's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Supercom's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Supercom Stock analysis
When running Supercom's price analysis, check to measure Supercom's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Supercom is operating at the current time. Most of Supercom's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Supercom's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Supercom's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Supercom to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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