Megalong Sp 500 Etf Performance
| SPYU Etf | 31.07 0.10 0.32% |
The etf secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.26, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, MegaLong will likely underperform.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days MegaLong SP 500 has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, MegaLong is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
MegaLong |
MegaLong Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 3,118 in MegaLong SP 500 on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (11.00) from holding MegaLong SP 500 or give up 0.35% of portfolio value over 90 days. MegaLong SP 500 is generating 0.0201% of daily returns and assumes 2.2765% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 20% of etfs are less volatile than MegaLong, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
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MegaLong Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of MegaLong Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 31.07 | 90 days | 31.07 | about 49.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MegaLong to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 49.6 (This MegaLong SP 500 probability density function shows the probability of MegaLong Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.26 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, MegaLong will likely underperform. Additionally MegaLong SP 500 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. MegaLong Price Density |
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