Megalong Sp 500 Etf Performance

SPYU Etf   31.07  0.10  0.32%   
The etf secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.26, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, MegaLong will likely underperform.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days MegaLong SP 500 has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, MegaLong is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
  

MegaLong Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,197  in MegaLong SP 500 on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (90.00) from holding MegaLong SP 500 or give up 2.82% of portfolio value over 90 days. MegaLong SP 500 is generating negative expected returns and assumes 2.2798% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 20% of etfs are less volatile than MegaLong, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MegaLong is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.08 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

MegaLong Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of MegaLong Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 31.07 90 days 31.07 
about 49.6
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MegaLong to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 49.6 (This MegaLong SP 500 probability density function shows the probability of MegaLong Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.26 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, MegaLong will likely underperform. Additionally MegaLong SP 500 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   MegaLong Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MegaLong

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MegaLong SP 500. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

MegaLong Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MegaLong is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MegaLong's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MegaLong SP 500, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MegaLong within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.26
σ
Overall volatility
0.99
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

MegaLong Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MegaLong for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MegaLong SP 500 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MegaLong SP 500 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
MegaLong SP 500 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days