Smith Wesson Brands Stock Performance

SWBI Stock  USD 11.80  0.05  0.43%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Smith Wesson holds a performance score of 16. The entity has a beta of 0.81, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Smith Wesson's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Smith Wesson is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Smith Wesson's sortino ratio, skewness, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Smith Wesson's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Smith Wesson Brands are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly weak fundamental drivers, Smith Wesson demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.6
Five Day Return
(1.09)
Year To Date Return
17.74
Ten Year Return
(34.98)
All Time Return
30.5 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0443
Payout Ratio
0.0289
Last Split Factor
1301:1000
Forward Dividend Rate
0.52
Dividend Date
2026-01-02
1
SWBI Q3 Deep Dive New Products and Inventory Discipline Drive Positive Reaction
12/05/2025
2
National Guard shooting suspect charged in federal court
12/24/2025
 
Smith Wesson dividend paid on 2nd of January 2026
01/02/2026
3
Teen Caught With Loaded Gun, Jailed After Poughkeepsie Traffic Stop Police
01/08/2026
4
St Catherine landscaper charged after gun allegedly found at his home
01/13/2026
5
6.26 Bn Rifles Global Market Analysis, Opportunities, Competitive Landscape, Strategies, and Forecasts, 2020-2025, 2025-2030F, 2035F
01/15/2026
6
Smith Wesson Brands Shares Down 0.6 percent - Time to Sell - MarketBeat
01/21/2026
7
Pull a fing D-Day Man who plotted to kill Joe Biden said only two rounds would be enough because hes got one foot and four toes in the grave already, feds say
01/29/2026
8
Smith Wesson Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q3 Earnings
02/04/2026
9
Parents of Colorado school shooter wont face gun charges, sheriffs office says
02/05/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow60.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-19.2 M

Smith Wesson Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  806.00  in Smith Wesson Brands on November 19, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  369.00  from holding Smith Wesson Brands or generate 45.78% return on investment over 90 days. Smith Wesson Brands is currently generating 0.6801% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.3631% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 30% of stocks are less volatile than Smith, and 87% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Smith Wesson is expected to generate 4.42 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.42 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 per unit of risk.

Smith Wesson Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Smith Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.80 90 days 11.80 
about 7.27
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Smith Wesson to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.27 (This Smith Wesson Brands probability density function shows the probability of Smith Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Smith Wesson has a beta of 0.81. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Smith Wesson average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Smith Wesson Brands will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Smith Wesson Brands has an alpha of 0.4804, implying that it can generate a 0.48 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Smith Wesson Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Smith Wesson

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Smith Wesson Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.8512.2115.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.8513.2116.57
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
12.2913.5014.99
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.060.060.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Smith Wesson. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Smith Wesson's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Smith Wesson's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Smith Wesson Brands.

Smith Wesson Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Smith Wesson is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Smith Wesson's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Smith Wesson Brands, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Smith Wesson within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.48
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.81
σ
Overall volatility
1.14
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Smith Wesson Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Smith Wesson for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Smith Wesson Brands can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Smith Wesson Brands appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Smith Wesson Brands currently holds about 110.45 M in cash with (7.22 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.41.
Smith Wesson Brands has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 2nd of January 2026 Smith Wesson paid $ 0.13 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from independent.co.uk: Parents of Colorado school shooter wont face gun charges, sheriffs office says

Smith Wesson Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Smith Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Smith Wesson's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Smith Wesson's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding44.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments25.2 M

Smith Wesson Fundamentals Growth

Smith Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Smith Wesson, and Smith Wesson fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Smith Stock performance.

About Smith Wesson Performance

By evaluating Smith Wesson's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Smith Wesson's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Smith Wesson has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Smith Wesson has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 179.47  188.45 
Return On Tangible Assets(18.43)(17.51)
Return On Capital Employed(6.03)(5.73)
Return On Assets(4.69)(4.45)
Return On Equity 8.03  8.43 

Things to note about Smith Wesson Brands performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Smith Wesson for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Smith Wesson Brands help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Smith Wesson Brands appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Smith Wesson Brands currently holds about 110.45 M in cash with (7.22 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.41.
Smith Wesson Brands has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 2nd of January 2026 Smith Wesson paid $ 0.13 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from independent.co.uk: Parents of Colorado school shooter wont face gun charges, sheriffs office says
Evaluating Smith Wesson's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Smith Wesson's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Smith Wesson's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Smith Wesson's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Smith Wesson's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Smith Wesson's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Smith Wesson's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Smith Wesson's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Smith Wesson's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Smith Wesson's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Smith Wesson's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Smith Stock analysis

When running Smith Wesson's price analysis, check to measure Smith Wesson's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Smith Wesson is operating at the current time. Most of Smith Wesson's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Smith Wesson's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Smith Wesson's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Smith Wesson to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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