Templeton Dragon Closed Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

TDF Fund  USD 11.60  0.02  0.17%   
The entity has a beta of 0.62, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Templeton Dragon's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Templeton Dragon is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Templeton Dragon Closed are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. Despite nearly stable fundamental indicators, Templeton Dragon is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.
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Templeton Dragon Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,112  in Templeton Dragon Closed on November 18, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  48.00  from holding Templeton Dragon Closed or generate 4.32% return on investment over 90 days. Templeton Dragon Closed is generating 0.0741% of daily returns assuming volatility of 0.9928% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 8% of funds are less volatile than Templeton, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Templeton Dragon is expected to generate 1.62 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.31 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.07 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 per unit of volatility.

Templeton Dragon Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
11.60
Please note that Templeton Dragon's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Templeton Dragon Closed has a current Real Value of $11.57 per share. The regular price of the fund is $11.6. We determine the value of Templeton Dragon Closed from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend locking in undervalued funds and disposing overvalued funds since, at some point, fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
The fair value of the Templeton fund is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Templeton Dragon Closed. Since Templeton Dragon is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Templeton Fund. However, Templeton Dragon's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  11.6 Real  11.57 Hype  11.6
The real value of Templeton Fund, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Templeton Dragon Closed Fund, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Templeton Dragon's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Templeton Dragon's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
11.57
Real Value
12.56
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Templeton Dragon Closed helps investors to forecast how Templeton fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Templeton Dragon more accurately as focusing exclusively on Templeton Dragon's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6111.6012.59
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Templeton Dragon Closed extending back to September 21, 1994. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Templeton Dragon stands at 11.60, as last reported on the 16th of February 2026, with the highest price reaching 11.62 and the lowest price hitting 11.51 during the day.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Templeton Dragon Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Templeton Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.60 90 days 11.60 
about 32.47
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Templeton Dragon to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 32.47 (This Templeton Dragon Closed probability density function shows the probability of Templeton Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Templeton Dragon has a beta of 0.62. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Templeton Dragon average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Templeton Dragon Closed will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Templeton Dragon Closed has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Templeton Dragon Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Templeton Dragon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Templeton Dragon Closed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Templeton Dragon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6111.6012.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.5811.5712.56
Details

Templeton Dragon Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Templeton Dragon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Templeton Dragon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Templeton Dragon Closed, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Templeton Dragon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.62
σ
Overall volatility
0.33
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Templeton Dragon Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Templeton Dragon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Templeton Dragon Closed can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Understanding Life-Cycle Funds Functionality and Real-World Examples - Investopedia
The fund generated five year return of -11.0%

Templeton Dragon Fundamentals Growth

Templeton Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Templeton Dragon, and Templeton Dragon fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Templeton Fund performance.

About Templeton Dragon Performance

By analyzing Templeton Dragon's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Templeton Dragon's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Templeton Dragon has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Templeton Dragon has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Templeton Dragon Fund, Inc. is a closed ended equity mutual fund launched by Franklin Resources, Inc. The fund is managed by Templeton Asset Management Ltd. It invests in the public equity markets of China. The fund seeks to invest in stocks of companies operating across diversified sectors. It primarily invests in value stocks of companies. The fund employs fundamental analysis focusing on factors like growth prospects, competitive positions in export markets, technologies, research and development, productivity, labor costs, raw material costs and sources, profit margins, returns on investment, capital resources, government regulation, and management to create its portfolio. It is actively managed. Templeton Dragon Fund, Inc. was formed on September 20, 1994 and is domiciled in the United States.

Things to note about Templeton Dragon Closed performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Templeton Dragon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Fund alerts and notifications screener for Templeton Dragon Closed help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Understanding Life-Cycle Funds Functionality and Real-World Examples - Investopedia
The fund generated five year return of -11.0%
Evaluating Templeton Dragon's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Templeton Dragon's fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Templeton Dragon's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Templeton Dragon's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Templeton Dragon's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Templeton Dragon's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Templeton Dragon's management team can help you assess the Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Templeton Dragon's fund. These opinions can provide insight into Templeton Dragon's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Templeton Dragon's fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Templeton Dragon's fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Templeton Fund

Templeton Dragon financial ratios help investors to determine whether Templeton Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Templeton with respect to the benefits of owning Templeton Dragon security.
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