Tfs Financial Stock Performance

TFSL Stock  USD 14.93  0.10  0.67%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, TFS Financial holds a performance score of 12. The entity has a beta of 0.88, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. TFS Financial returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, TFS Financial is expected to follow. Please check TFS Financial's downside variance, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and price action indicator , to make a quick decision on whether TFS Financial's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in TFS Financial are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite abnormal basic indicators, TFS Financial disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.67
Five Day Return
1.56
Year To Date Return
10.02
Ten Year Return
(9.30)
All Time Return
26.63
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0757
Payout Ratio
0.0354
Forward Dividend Rate
1.13
Dividend Date
2025-12-16
Ex Dividend Date
2025-12-02
1
Disposition of 5000 shares by Andrew Rubino of TFS Financial at 14.23 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/24/2025
2
Disposition of 5100 shares by Anderson Barbara J. of TFS Financial subject to Rule 16b-3
12/10/2025
3
Disposition of 7600 shares by Williams Ashley H of TFS Financial at 13.66 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/12/2025
4
Acquisition by Marc Stefanski of 3500 shares of TFS Financial subject to Rule 16b-3
12/15/2025
 
TFS Financial dividend paid on 16th of December 2025
12/16/2025
5
Acquisition by Bauer Terrence L. of 5000 shares of TFS Financial subject to Rule 16b-3
12/18/2025
6
Q3 Earnings Outperformers TFS Financial And The Rest Of The Thrifts Mortgage Finance Stocks
12/19/2025
7
Price Dynamics and Execution-Aware Positioning - Stock Traders Daily
01/14/2026
8
TFS Financial Valuation Check After Efficiency Gains From Heron Broker Suite Adoption
01/16/2026
9
3 Reasons to Avoid TFSL and 1 Stock to Buy Instead
01/20/2026
10
TFS Financial Releases Quarterly Earnings Results, Misses Expectations By 0.01 EPS
01/29/2026
11
Can TFS Financials Margin and Cost Pressures Recast Its Profit Story for Investors in TFSL
01/30/2026
12
Disposition of 11000 shares by Anderson Barbara J. of TFS Financial at 14.21 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/03/2026
13
Acquisition by Fiala Robert A of 5000 shares of TFS Financial subject to Rule 16b-3
02/04/2026
14
TFS Financial Sets New 52-Week High Heres Why
02/10/2026
15
Disposition of 2089 shares by Meredith Weil of TFS Financial at 14.95 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/11/2026
16
Disposition of 7149 shares by Marc Stefanski of TFS Financial at 15.03 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/12/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow463.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-384 M

TFS Financial Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,303  in TFS Financial on November 16, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  190.00  from holding TFS Financial or generate 14.58% return on investment over 90 days. TFS Financial is currently generating 0.2352% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.5498% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 13% of stocks are less volatile than TFS, and 96% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days TFS Financial is expected to generate 2.01 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.01 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

TFS Financial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of TFS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 14.93 90 days 14.93 
roughly 2.65
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TFS Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.65 (This TFS Financial probability density function shows the probability of TFS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days TFS Financial has a beta of 0.88. This usually implies TFS Financial market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, TFS Financial is expected to follow. Additionally TFS Financial has an alpha of 0.0948, implying that it can generate a 0.0948 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   TFS Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TFS Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TFS Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TFS Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.5015.0516.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.9714.5216.07
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.2014.5016.10
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.080.080.08
Details

TFS Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TFS Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TFS Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TFS Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TFS Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.88
σ
Overall volatility
0.46
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

TFS Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TFS Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TFS Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Disposition of 7149 shares by Marc Stefanski of TFS Financial at 15.03 subject to Rule 16b-3

TFS Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TFS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TFS Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TFS Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding279.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments483.5 M

TFS Financial Fundamentals Growth

TFS Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of TFS Financial, and TFS Financial fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on TFS Stock performance.

About TFS Financial Performance

By examining TFS Financial's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into TFS Financial's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that TFS Financial is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Capital Employed 0.02  0.03 
Return On Equity 0.04  0.03 

Things to note about TFS Financial performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about TFS Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for TFS Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Disposition of 7149 shares by Marc Stefanski of TFS Financial at 15.03 subject to Rule 16b-3
Evaluating TFS Financial's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate TFS Financial's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing TFS Financial's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether TFS Financial's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining TFS Financial's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating TFS Financial's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of TFS Financial's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of TFS Financial's stock. These opinions can provide insight into TFS Financial's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating TFS Financial's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact TFS Financial's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether TFS Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze TFS Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact TFS Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding TFS Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in TFS Financial. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in producer price index.
For more information on how to buy TFS Stock please use our How to buy in TFS Stock guide.
You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TFS Financial. If investors know TFS will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive TFS Financial assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.01)
Dividend Share
1.13
Earnings Share
0.32
Revenue Per Share
1.174
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.11
Investors evaluate TFS Financial using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating TFS Financial's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause TFS Financial's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TFS Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TFS Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, TFS Financial's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.