Tilray Inc Stock Performance
| TLRY Stock | USD 8.42 0.63 6.96% |
The entity has a beta of 1.91, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Tilray will likely underperform. At this point, Tilray Inc has a negative expected return of -0.46%. Please make sure to validate Tilray's kurtosis, and the relationship between the value at risk and rate of daily change , to decide if Tilray Inc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Tilray Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in February 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (3.54) | Five Day Return (0.68) | Year To Date Return (10.19) | Ten Year Return (96.10) | All Time Return (96.10) |
Last Split Factor 1:10 | Last Split Date 2025-12-02 |
1 | Acquisition by Irwin Simon of 165000 shares of Tilray at 0.6067 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/07/2025 |
2 | Tilray Brands, Inc. Crossed Above the 20-Day Moving Average What That Means for Investors | 12/15/2025 |
3 | Trumps Cannabis Reclassification Might Change The Case For Investing In Tilray Brands | 01/05/2026 |
4 | Weekly Jobless Claims Come in Muted | 01/08/2026 |
5 | Tilray anticipates 150M global medical cannabis revenue run rate as international expansion accelerates | 01/09/2026 |
6 | Will Tilray turn things around in February | 01/12/2026 |
7 | Curaleaf Announces Delaware Domestication Plan How to Play the Stock | 01/14/2026 |
8 | Village Farms Stock More Than Doubles in 6 Months How to Play | 01/16/2026 |
9 | Acquisition by Irwin Simon of 706216 shares of Tilray at 0.58 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/20/2026 |
10 | Is Tilray Brands Now A Value Opportunity After Recent Share Price Weakness | 01/21/2026 |
11 | SweetWater Introduces Big Trip Double IPA A Bold New Craft Beer | 01/22/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 313.3 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -64.1 M |
Tilray Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,360 in Tilray Inc on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (518.00) from holding Tilray Inc or give up 38.09% of portfolio value over 90 days. Tilray Inc is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 8.6326% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 77% of stocks are less volatile than Tilray, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Tilray Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Tilray Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 8.42 | 90 days | 8.42 | about 83.81 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tilray to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 83.81 (This Tilray Inc probability density function shows the probability of Tilray Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.91 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Tilray will likely underperform. Additionally Tilray Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Tilray Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tilray
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tilray Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tilray Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tilray is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tilray's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tilray Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tilray within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.67 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.91 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Tilray Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tilray for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tilray Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tilray Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tilray Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Tilray Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.13 B. Net Loss for the year was (3 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 234.67 M. | |
| Tilray Inc currently holds about 490.64 M in cash with (129.81 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.8. | |
| Tilray Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: SweetWater Introduces Big Trip Double IPA A Bold New Craft Beer |
Tilray Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tilray Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tilray's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tilray's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 89 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 351.8 M |
Tilray Fundamentals Growth
Tilray Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Tilray, and Tilray fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Tilray Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.84 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0151 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (2.52) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.09) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 1.05 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 116.51 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 9.44 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.64 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.21 X | ||||
| Revenue | 1.13 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 234.67 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (2.92 B) | ||||
| Net Income | (3 B) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 490.64 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.80 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 451.09 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.14 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 3.33 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 14.89 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (129.81 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (23.53) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.02 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 2.9 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (6.65 B) | ||||
| Working Capital | 408.32 M | ||||
About Tilray Performance
Evaluating Tilray's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Tilray has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Tilray has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 153.23 | 160.89 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.28) | (0.29) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.30) | (0.31) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.28) | (0.29) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.29) | (0.30) |
Things to note about Tilray Inc performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tilray for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Tilray Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tilray Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tilray Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Tilray Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.13 B. Net Loss for the year was (3 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 234.67 M. | |
| Tilray Inc currently holds about 490.64 M in cash with (129.81 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.8. | |
| Tilray Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: SweetWater Introduces Big Trip Double IPA A Bold New Craft Beer |
- Analyzing Tilray's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Tilray's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Tilray's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Tilray's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Tilray's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Tilray's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Tilray's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Tilray Stock Analysis
When running Tilray's price analysis, check to measure Tilray's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tilray is operating at the current time. Most of Tilray's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tilray's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tilray's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tilray to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.