Tillys Inc Stock Performance
| TLYS Stock | USD 3.78 0.11 3.00% |
The entity has a beta of 2.4, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Tillys will likely underperform. At this point, Tillys Inc has a negative expected return of -0.47%. Please make sure to validate Tillys' total risk alpha, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and market facilitation index , to decide if Tillys Inc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
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Over the last 90 days Tillys Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in December 2024. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 2.91 | Five Day Return (4.19) | Year To Date Return (48.34) | Ten Year Return (47.50) | All Time Return (76.86) |
Dividend Date 2021-12-15 | Ex Dividend Date 2021-12-06 |
1 | Q2 2024 Tillys Inc Earnings Call Transcript | 09/06/2024 |
2 | Acquisition by Fund 1 Investments, Llc of 20000 shares of Tillys at 7.1142 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 09/13/2024 |
3 | Acquisition by Fund 1 Investments, Llc of 41500 shares of Tillys at 7.4322 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 09/20/2024 |
4 | Acquisition by Fund 1 Investments, Llc of 3500 shares of Tillys at 8.4029 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 10/18/2024 |
5 | Baker Tilly Helps Heal Hearts with Baker Tilly Wishes | 10/21/2024 |
6 | Starbucks Co. Shares Sold by Baker Tilly Wealth Management LLC | 10/28/2024 |
7 | Baker Tilly Wealth Management LLC Lowers Stake in Citigroup Inc. | 10/29/2024 |
8 | Tillys, Inc. to Report Fiscal 2024 Third Quarter Operating Results on December 5, 2024 | 11/04/2024 |
9 | TLYS Stock Surges Over 5 percent As Earnings Releases Reveal Mixed Results | 11/05/2024 |
10 | Tillys Opens Doors At Page Plaza Grand Opening T-Shirts | 11/08/2024 |
11 | Tillys Stock Passes Below 50-Day Moving Average - Whats Next - MarketBeat | 11/21/2024 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 73.5 M | |
| Free Cash Flow | -20.7 M |
Tillys |
Tillys Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 537.00 in Tillys Inc on August 24, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (159.00) from holding Tillys Inc or give up 29.61% of portfolio value over 90 days. Tillys Inc is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.8735% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 34% of stocks are less volatile than Tillys, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Tillys Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Tillys' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Tillys Inc, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Tillys' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = -0.1223
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| Cash | Small Risk | Average Risk | High Risk | Huge Risk |
| Negative Returns | TLYS |
Estimated Market Risk
| 3.87 actual daily | 34 66% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
| -0.47 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| -0.12 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Tillys is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Tillys by adding Tillys to a well-diversified portfolio.
Tillys Fundamentals Growth
Tillys Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Tillys, and Tillys fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Tillys Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.28 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0284 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.07) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.03 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 251.12 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 22.85 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 4.16 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.90 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.18 X | ||||
| Revenue | 623.08 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 206.41 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (14.72 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (34.49 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 116.38 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 3.87 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 231.59 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 1.47 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.59 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 4.20 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (6.73 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (1.38) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 113.97 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 429.55 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (27.96 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 71.5 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 166.78 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 55.81 M | ||||
About Tillys Performance
Assessing Tillys' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Tillys' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Tillys is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 50.40 | 51.82 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.08) | 0.05 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.08) | 0.11 | |
| Return On Assets | (0.08) | 0.05 | |
| Return On Equity | (0.24) | 0.09 |
Things to note about Tillys Inc performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tillys for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Tillys Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tillys Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tillys Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 623.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (34.49 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 206.41 M. | |
| Tillys Inc currently holds about 116.38 M in cash with (6.73 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.87, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Tillys Stock Passes Below 50-Day Moving Average - Whats Next - MarketBeat |
- Analyzing Tillys' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Tillys' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Tillys' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Tillys' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Tillys' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Tillys' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Tillys' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Tillys Stock Analysis
When running Tillys' price analysis, check to measure Tillys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tillys is operating at the current time. Most of Tillys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tillys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tillys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tillys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.