Tillys Inc Stock Analysis

TLYS Stock  USD 3.78  0.11  3.00%   
Tillys Inc is undervalued with Real Value of 5.18 and Target Price of 10.0. The main objective of Tillys stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Tillys Inc is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Tillys' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Tillys stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Tillys is usually not traded on Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday. Tillys Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Tillys Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.

Tillys Stock Analysis Notes

About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.87. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Tillys Inc has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.98. The entity recorded a loss per share of 1.38. The firm last dividend was issued on the 6th of December 2021. Tillys, Inc. operates as a specialty retailer of casual apparel, footwear, accessories, and hardgoods for young men and women, and boys and girls in the United States. Tillys, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Irvine, California. Tillys operates under Apparel Retail classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 1450 people. To find out more about Tillys Inc contact Edmond CPA at 949 609 5599 or learn more at https://www.tillys.com.

Tillys Quarterly Total Revenue

162.87 Million

Tillys Inc Investment Alerts

Tillys Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Tillys Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 623.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (34.49 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 206.41 M.
Tillys Inc currently holds about 116.38 M in cash with (6.73 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.87, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from apnews.com: Tilly scores 20 as Santa Clara knocks off UC Riverside 96-54

Tillys Inc Upcoming and Recent Events

14th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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6th of June 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of January 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
14th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
31st of October 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of January 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View

Tillys Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Tillys' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2019-05-29
2019-02-280.030.02-0.0133 
2016-05-25
2016-02-29-0.07-0.060.0114 
2015-05-27
2015-02-280.040.050.0125 
View All Earnings Estimates

Tillys Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Tillys' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Tillys' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Tillys' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Tillys' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Tillys Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
387.5 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
344.4 K
J. Goldman & Co Lp2024-06-30
302.6 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
241.8 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
148.6 K
Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc.2024-06-30
129.2 K
Empowered Funds, Llc2024-06-30
119.7 K
Aristides Capital Llc2024-06-30
119.6 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
100 K
Fund 1 Investments Llc2024-06-30
7.9 M
Long Focus Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
2.2 M
Note, although Tillys' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Tillys Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 110.66 M.

Tillys Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.07) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.03 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.03.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.08) 0.05 
Return On Capital Employed(0.08) 0.11 
Return On Assets(0.08) 0.05 
Return On Equity(0.24) 0.09 

Management Efficiency

Tillys Inc has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0284) % which means that it has lost $0.0284 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.2817) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Tillys' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Tillys manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is likely to gain to 0.05 in 2024. Return On Capital Employed is likely to gain to 0.11 in 2024. At this time, Tillys' Non Currrent Assets Other are comparatively stable compared to the past year. Total Current Assets is likely to gain to about 177.6 M in 2024, whereas Non Current Assets Total are likely to drop slightly above 166.7 M in 2024.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 4.85  5.66 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 4.85  5.66 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(27.79) 7.60 
Price Book Value Ratio 1.55  2.43 
Enterprise Value Multiple(27.79) 7.60 
Price Fair Value 1.55  2.43 
Enterprise Value474.8 M422 M
The strategic vision of Tillys Inc management plays a critical role in its financial performance. By evaluating this vision, we provide insights into the stock's growth potential.
Operating Margin
0.0296
Profit Margin
(0.07)
Beta
1.633
Return On Assets
(0.03)
Return On Equity
(0.28)

Technical Drivers

As of the 22nd of November, Tillys has the Coefficient Of Variation of (1,372), variance of 19.43, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05). In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Tillys Inc, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate Tillys Inc information ratio and kurtosis to decide if Tillys is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 3.78 per share. Given that Tillys Inc has information ratio of (0.09), we advise you to double-check Tillys Inc's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Tillys Inc Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was nineteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-two. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Tillys middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Tillys Inc. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Tillys Inc Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Tillys insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Tillys' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Tillys insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
Fund 1 Investments, Llc over a month ago
Acquisition by Fund 1 Investments, Llc of 3500 shares of Tillys at 8.4029 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Fund 1 Investments, Llc over two months ago
Acquisition by Fund 1 Investments, Llc of 41500 shares of Tillys at 7.4322 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Fund 1 Investments, Llc over two months ago
Acquisition by Fund 1 Investments, Llc of 20000 shares of Tillys at 7.1142 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Fund 1 Investments, Llc over three months ago
Acquisition by Fund 1 Investments, Llc of 126324 shares of Tillys at 5.54 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Fund 1 Investments, Llc over three months ago
Acquisition by Fund 1 Investments, Llc of 64610 shares of Tillys at 5.8682 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Fund 1 Investments, Llc over three months ago
Acquisition by Fund 1 Investments, Llc of 100000 shares of Tillys at 5.1386 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Seth Johnson over three months ago
Disposition of 5227 shares by Seth Johnson of Tillys at 5.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Michael Henry over three months ago
Acquisition by Michael Henry of 5000 shares of Tillys at 5.0075 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Fund 1 Investments, Llc over six months ago
Acquisition by Fund 1 Investments, Llc of 21000 shares of Tillys at 7.2894 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Fund 1 Investments, Llc over six months ago
Acquisition by Fund 1 Investments, Llc of 54000 shares of Tillys at 7.1385 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Fund 1 Investments, Llc over six months ago
Acquisition by Fund 1 Investments, Llc of 52000 shares of Tillys at 7.5175 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Fund 1 Investments, Llc over six months ago
Acquisition by Fund 1 Investments, Llc of 21000 shares of Tillys at 7.2894 subject to Rule 16b-3

Tillys Outstanding Bonds

Tillys issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Tillys Inc uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Tillys bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Tillys Inc has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Tillys Predictive Daily Indicators

Tillys intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Tillys stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Tillys Corporate Filings

8K
15th of November 2024
An amendment to a previously filed Form 8-K
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8K
12th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
31st of October 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
8K
12th of September 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
10Q
6th of September 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
8K
5th of September 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
9th of July 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
5th of July 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Tillys Forecast Models

Tillys' time-series forecasting models are one of many Tillys' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Tillys' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Tillys Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Tillys prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Tillys shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Tillys. By using and applying Tillys Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Tillys entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.04) 0.04 
Operating Profit Margin(0.04) 0.04 
Net Profit Margin(0.06) 0.03 
Gross Profit Margin 0.27  0.30 

Current Tillys Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Tillys analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Tillys analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
10.0Hold2Odds
Tillys Inc current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Tillys analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Tillys stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Tillys Inc, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Tillys conference calls.
Tillys Analyst Advice Details

Tillys Stock Analysis Indicators

Tillys Inc stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Tillys stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Tillys shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Tillys stock analysis, traders can identify Tillys position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow73.5 M
Total Stockholder Equity144.9 M
Capital Lease Obligations231.6 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net251.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments95 M
Net Invested Capital144.9 M
Cash47 M
50 Day M A4.436
Total Current Liabilities104.6 M
Forward Price Earnings16.129
Investments-20 M
Stock Based Compensation2.2 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding29.8 M
Tax Provision8.7 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.974
Free Cash Flow-20.7 M
Other Current Assets11.9 M
Accounts Payable14.5 M
Net Debt184.6 M
Other Operating Expenses650.6 M
Non Current Assets Total253.5 M
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity429.5 M
Non Currrent Assets Other1.6 M

Additional Tools for Tillys Stock Analysis

When running Tillys' price analysis, check to measure Tillys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tillys is operating at the current time. Most of Tillys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tillys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tillys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tillys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.