Tencent Music Entertainment Stock Performance

TME Stock  USD 16.40  0.15  0.91%   
The entity has a beta of 0.31, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Tencent Music's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Tencent Music is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Tencent Music Entert has a negative expected return of -0.48%. Please make sure to validate Tencent Music's jensen alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day typical price , to decide if Tencent Music Entert performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Tencent Music Entertainment has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's primary indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.91)
Five Day Return
(6.12)
Year To Date Return
(8.17)
Ten Year Return
17.14
All Time Return
17.14
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0109
Payout Ratio
0.0403
Forward Dividend Rate
0.18
Dividend Date
2025-04-24
Ex Dividend Date
2025-04-03
1
Top Music Stocks To Research - December 19th - MarketBeat
12/19/2025
2
Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V. Boosts Position in Tencent Music Entertainment Group Sponsored ADR TME - MarketBeat
01/07/2026
3
Best Music Stocks To Add to Your Watchlist - January 13th - MarketBeat
01/13/2026
4
Tencent Music Entertainment Group and Liberty Media Corporation Liberty Formula One Series A Critical Survey
01/23/2026
5
Top Music Stocks To Follow Today - January 27th - MarketBeat
01/27/2026
6
New York State Common Retirement Fund Purchases 165,814 Shares of Tencent Music Entertainment Group Sponsored ADR TME - MarketBeat
02/03/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow13.6 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-6.8 B

Tencent Music Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,231  in Tencent Music Entertainment on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (591.00) from holding Tencent Music Entertainment or give up 26.49% of portfolio value over 90 days. Tencent Music Entertainment is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.3998% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 21% of stocks are less volatile than Tencent, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Tencent Music is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.2 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.2 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of volatility.

Tencent Music Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Tencent Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 16.40 90 days 16.40 
about 87.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tencent Music to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 87.08 (This Tencent Music Entertainment probability density function shows the probability of Tencent Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Tencent Music has a beta of 0.31. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Tencent Music average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tencent Music Entertainment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tencent Music Entertainment has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Tencent Music Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tencent Music

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tencent Music Entert. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.0216.4018.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.4114.7917.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.1416.5218.90
Details
32 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
24.4626.8829.84
Details

Tencent Music Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tencent Music is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tencent Music's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tencent Music Entertainment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tencent Music within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.5
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
1.77
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

Tencent Music Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tencent Music for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tencent Music Entert can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tencent Music Entert generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: New York State Common Retirement Fund Purchases 165,814 Shares of Tencent Music Entertainment Group Sponsored ADR TME - MarketBeat

Tencent Music Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tencent Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tencent Music's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tencent Music's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.6 B
Cash And Short Term Investments27.2 B

Tencent Music Fundamentals Growth

Tencent Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Tencent Music, and Tencent Music fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Tencent Stock performance.

About Tencent Music Performance

By analyzing Tencent Music's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Tencent Music's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Tencent Music has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Tencent Music has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 0.59  0.79 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.09  0.07 
Return On Capital Employed 0.11  0.06 
Return On Assets 0.07  0.04 
Return On Equity 0.09  0.05 

Things to note about Tencent Music Entert performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tencent Music for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Tencent Music Entert help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tencent Music Entert generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: New York State Common Retirement Fund Purchases 165,814 Shares of Tencent Music Entertainment Group Sponsored ADR TME - MarketBeat
Evaluating Tencent Music's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Tencent Music's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Tencent Music's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Tencent Music's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Tencent Music's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Tencent Music's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Tencent Music's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Tencent Music's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Tencent Music's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Tencent Music's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Tencent Music's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Tencent Stock analysis

When running Tencent Music's price analysis, check to measure Tencent Music's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tencent Music is operating at the current time. Most of Tencent Music's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tencent Music's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tencent Music's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tencent Music to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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