Taylor Morn Home Stock Performance

TMHC Stock  USD 62.24  1.06  1.67%   
Taylor Morn has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 1.15, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Taylor Morn will likely underperform. Taylor Morn Home right now has a risk of 1.88%. Please validate Taylor Morn downside variance, daily balance of power, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to decide if Taylor Morn will be following its existing price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Taylor Morn Home are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound technical indicators, Taylor Morn is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.67)
Five Day Return
0.63
Year To Date Return
5.8
Ten Year Return
444.06
All Time Return
170.14
1
Should You Revisit Taylor Morrison After Recent 16.6 percent Drop and Sector Volatility
11/04/2025
2
Rhumbline Advisers Acquires 2,443 Shares of Taylor Morrison Home Corporation TMHC
11/28/2025
3
Taylor Morrison Welcomes Finance Executive Amanda Whalen to Board of Directors
12/16/2025
4
Bear of the Day Taylor Morrison Home Corporation
12/19/2025
5
Voya Investment Management LLC Has 1.68 Million Holdings in Taylor Morrison Home Corporation TMHC
12/30/2025
6
Acquisition by Christopher Yip of 403 shares of Taylor Morn subject to Rule 16b-3
12/31/2025
7
Pacer Advisors Inc. Acquires New Shares in Taylor Morrison Home Corporation TMHC
01/02/2026
8
Taylor Morrison Homes investors will be pleased with their solid 138 percent return over the last five years
01/06/2026
9
Taylor Morrison Announces Date for Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Release and Webcast Conference Call
01/07/2026
10
Assessing Taylor Morrison Home Valuation After Mixed Shareholder Returns And Recent Price Weakness
01/16/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow807.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-136.4 M

Taylor Morn Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,985  in Taylor Morn Home on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  239.00  from holding Taylor Morn Home or generate 3.99% return on investment over 90 days. Taylor Morn Home is currently generating 0.0814% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.8844% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 16% of stocks are less volatile than Taylor, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Taylor Morn is expected to generate 2.56 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.56 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Taylor Morn Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Taylor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 62.24 90 days 62.24 
about 25.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Taylor Morn to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 25.72 (This Taylor Morn Home probability density function shows the probability of Taylor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.15 . This usually implies Taylor Morn Home market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Taylor Morn is expected to follow. Additionally Taylor Morn Home has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Taylor Morn Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Taylor Morn

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Taylor Morn Home. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
60.3762.2464.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
60.0461.9163.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
60.4362.3064.17
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
68.4875.2583.53
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Taylor Morn. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Taylor Morn's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Taylor Morn's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Taylor Morn Home.

Taylor Morn Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Taylor Morn is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Taylor Morn's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Taylor Morn Home, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Taylor Morn within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.15
σ
Overall volatility
2.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Taylor Morn Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Taylor Morn for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Taylor Morn Home can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Assessing Taylor Morrison Home Valuation After Mixed Shareholder Returns And Recent Price Weakness

Taylor Morn Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Taylor Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Taylor Morn's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Taylor Morn's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding106.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments487.2 M

Taylor Morn Fundamentals Growth

Taylor Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Taylor Morn, and Taylor Morn fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Taylor Stock performance.

About Taylor Morn Performance

By analyzing Taylor Morn's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Taylor Morn's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Taylor Morn has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Taylor Morn has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 425.19  449.87 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.09  0.05 
Return On Capital Employed 0.13  0.08 
Return On Assets 0.09  0.04 
Return On Equity 0.17  0.15 

Things to note about Taylor Morn Home performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Taylor Morn for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Taylor Morn Home help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Assessing Taylor Morrison Home Valuation After Mixed Shareholder Returns And Recent Price Weakness
Evaluating Taylor Morn's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Taylor Morn's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Taylor Morn's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Taylor Morn's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Taylor Morn's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Taylor Morn's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Taylor Morn's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Taylor Morn's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Taylor Morn's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Taylor Morn's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Taylor Morn's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Taylor Morn's price analysis, check to measure Taylor Morn's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Taylor Morn is operating at the current time. Most of Taylor Morn's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Taylor Morn's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Taylor Morn's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Taylor Morn to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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