Tokyo Electron Ltd Stock Performance

TOELY Stock  USD 138.90  6.90  5.23%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Tokyo Electron holds a performance score of 13. The entity has a beta of 1.35, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Tokyo Electron will likely underperform. Please check Tokyo Electron's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and market facilitation index , to make a quick decision on whether Tokyo Electron's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
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Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Tokyo Electron Ltd are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak essential indicators, Tokyo Electron showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow266 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-55.6 B
  

Tokyo Electron Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  10,454  in Tokyo Electron Ltd on November 16, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,436  from holding Tokyo Electron Ltd or generate 32.87% return on investment over 90 days. Tokyo Electron Ltd is currently producing 0.509% returns and takes up 2.9295% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 26% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Tokyo, and 90% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tokyo Electron is expected to generate 3.8 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.8 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

Tokyo Electron Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Tokyo Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 138.90 90 days 138.90 
about 5.42
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tokyo Electron to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.42 (This Tokyo Electron Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Tokyo Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.35 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Tokyo Electron will likely underperform. Additionally Tokyo Electron Ltd has an alpha of 0.2798, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Tokyo Electron Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tokyo Electron

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tokyo Electron. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
135.97138.90141.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
105.28108.21152.79
Details

Tokyo Electron Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tokyo Electron is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tokyo Electron's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tokyo Electron Ltd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tokyo Electron within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.35
σ
Overall volatility
14.17
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Tokyo Electron Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tokyo Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tokyo Electron's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tokyo Electron's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding625.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments371.3 B

Tokyo Electron Fundamentals Growth

Tokyo Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Tokyo Electron, and Tokyo Electron fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Tokyo Pink Sheet performance.

About Tokyo Electron Performance

Evaluating Tokyo Electron's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Tokyo Electron has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Tokyo Electron has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Tokyo Electron Limited, together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells semiconductor and flat panel display production equipment in Japan, Europe, North America, Taiwan, China, South Korea, Southeast Asia, and internationally. Tokyo Electron Limited was incorporated in 1951 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. Tokyo Electron operates under Semiconductor Equipment Materials classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 15634 people.

Things to note about Tokyo Electron performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tokyo Electron for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Tokyo Electron help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Tokyo Electron's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Tokyo Electron's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Tokyo Electron's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Tokyo Electron's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Tokyo Electron's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Tokyo Electron's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Tokyo Electron's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Tokyo Electron's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Tokyo Electron's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Tokyo Electron's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Tokyo Electron's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Tokyo Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Tokyo Electron's price analysis, check to measure Tokyo Electron's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tokyo Electron is operating at the current time. Most of Tokyo Electron's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tokyo Electron's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tokyo Electron's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tokyo Electron to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.