Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Stock Performance

TSM Stock  USD 325.74  10.01  2.98%   
Taiwan Semiconductor has a performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.2, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Taiwan Semiconductor's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Taiwan Semiconductor is expected to be smaller as well. Taiwan Semiconductor right now has a risk of 1.99%. Please validate Taiwan Semiconductor maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to decide if Taiwan Semiconductor will be following its existing price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating basic indicators, Taiwan Semiconductor may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.53
Five Day Return
(1.40)
Year To Date Return
3.48
Ten Year Return
1.4 K
All Time Return
5.9 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.01
Payout Ratio
0.2515
Last Split Factor
1005:1000
Forward Dividend Rate
3.37
Dividend Date
2026-04-09
 
Taiwan Semiconductor dividend paid on 8th of January 2026
01/08/2026
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Begin Period Cash FlowT
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.3 T

Taiwan Semiconductor Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  29,451  in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,123  from holding Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing or generate 10.6% return on investment over 90 days. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is generating 0.1875% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.9853% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 17% of stocks are less volatile than Taiwan, and above 97% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Taiwan Semiconductor is expected to generate 2.59 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.59 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Taiwan Semiconductor Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Taiwan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 325.74 90 days 325.74 
about 15.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Taiwan Semiconductor to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 15.87 (This Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing probability density function shows the probability of Taiwan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Taiwan Semiconductor has a beta of 0.2. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Taiwan Semiconductor average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing has an alpha of 0.1153, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Taiwan Semiconductor Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Taiwan Semiconductor

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Taiwan Semiconductor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Taiwan Semiconductor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
323.73325.74327.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
293.17374.13376.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
314.05316.06318.06
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
382.03419.81465.99
Details

Taiwan Semiconductor Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Taiwan Semiconductor is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Taiwan Semiconductor's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Taiwan Semiconductor within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
20.55
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Taiwan Semiconductor Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Taiwan Semiconductor for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Taiwan Semiconductor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
On 8th of January 2026 Taiwan Semiconductor paid $ 0.8348 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Stock Price Down 3 percent Heres What Happened

Taiwan Semiconductor Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Taiwan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Taiwan Semiconductor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Taiwan Semiconductor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.2 B
Cash And Short Term Investments3.1 T

Taiwan Semiconductor Fundamentals Growth

Taiwan Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Taiwan Semiconductor, and Taiwan Semiconductor fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Taiwan Stock performance.

About Taiwan Semiconductor Performance

By examining Taiwan Semiconductor's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Taiwan Semiconductor's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Taiwan Semiconductor is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 68.83  44.72 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.22  0.13 
Return On Capital Employed 0.30  0.16 
Return On Assets 0.22  0.13 
Return On Equity 0.32  0.18 

Things to note about Taiwan Semiconductor performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Taiwan Semiconductor for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Taiwan Semiconductor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
On 8th of January 2026 Taiwan Semiconductor paid $ 0.8348 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Stock Price Down 3 percent Heres What Happened
Evaluating Taiwan Semiconductor's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Taiwan Semiconductor's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Taiwan Semiconductor's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Taiwan Semiconductor's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Taiwan Semiconductor's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Taiwan Semiconductor's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Taiwan Semiconductor's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Taiwan Semiconductor's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Taiwan Semiconductor's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Taiwan Semiconductor's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Taiwan Semiconductor's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Taiwan Semiconductor is a strong investment it is important to analyze Taiwan Semiconductor's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Taiwan Semiconductor's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Taiwan Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Will Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector continue expanding? Could Taiwan diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Taiwan Semiconductor. If investors know Taiwan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Taiwan Semiconductor data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.406
Earnings Share
10.16
Revenue Per Share
91.8075
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.205
Return On Assets
0.1655
Investors evaluate Taiwan Semiconductor using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Taiwan Semiconductor's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Taiwan Semiconductor's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Taiwan Semiconductor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Taiwan Semiconductor is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Taiwan Semiconductor's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.