Twilio Inc Stock Performance

TWLO Stock  USD 113.14  2.18  1.96%   
The entity has a beta of 0.97, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Twilio returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Twilio is expected to follow. At this point, Twilio Inc has a negative expected return of -0.11%. Please make sure to validate Twilio's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and relative strength index , to decide if Twilio Inc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Twilio Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Stock's essential indicators remain healthy and the recent disarray on Wall Street may also be a sign of long period gains for the firm investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.96
Five Day Return
5.84
Year To Date Return
(18.23)
Ten Year Return
292.98
All Time Return
292.98
1
Twilio Stock Declines While Market Improves Some Information for Investors
01/05/2026
2
Genspark Uses Twilio to Power Global AI Calling Call for Me Agent
02/03/2026
3
Twilio Tops Q4 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
02/12/2026
4
TWLO Q4 Deep Dive Voice AI Growth, Margin Pressures, and Expanding Customer Adoption
02/13/2026
5
Twilio Gains Momentum as AI and Voice Demand Accelerate
02/17/2026
6
Twilio Results And Moodys Upgrade Raise Questions On Valuation And AI Potential
02/19/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow421.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities80.9 M

Twilio Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  12,439  in Twilio Inc on November 23, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,125) from holding Twilio Inc or give up 9.04% of portfolio value over 90 days. Twilio Inc is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.9289% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 26% of stocks are less volatile than Twilio, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Twilio is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.93 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.04 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of volatility.

Twilio Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Twilio Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 113.14 90 days 113.14 
about 91.26
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Twilio to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 91.26 (This Twilio Inc probability density function shows the probability of Twilio Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Twilio has a beta of 0.97. This usually implies Twilio Inc market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Twilio is expected to follow. Additionally Twilio Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Twilio Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Twilio

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Twilio Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
110.14113.07116.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
101.83118.85121.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
107.39110.31113.24
Details
31 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
129.82142.66158.35
Details

Twilio Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Twilio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Twilio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Twilio Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Twilio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.97
σ
Overall volatility
10.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Twilio Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Twilio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Twilio Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Twilio Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Twilio Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Twilio Inc has a very strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Twilio Results And Moodys Upgrade Raise Questions On Valuation And AI Potential

Twilio Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Twilio Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Twilio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Twilio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding159.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.5 B

Twilio Fundamentals Growth

Twilio Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Twilio, and Twilio fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Twilio Stock performance.

About Twilio Performance

By examining Twilio's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Twilio's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Twilio is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.02  0.02 

Things to note about Twilio Inc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Twilio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Twilio Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Twilio Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Twilio Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Twilio Inc has a very strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Twilio Results And Moodys Upgrade Raise Questions On Valuation And AI Potential
Evaluating Twilio's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Twilio's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Twilio's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Twilio's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Twilio's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Twilio's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Twilio's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Twilio's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Twilio's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Twilio's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Twilio's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Twilio Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Twilio's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Twilio Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Twilio Inc Stock:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Twilio Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Will Internet Services & Infrastructure sector continue expanding? Could Twilio diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Twilio. If investors know Twilio will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Twilio data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share
0.21
Revenue Per Share
33.122
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.143
Return On Assets
0.0111
Return On Equity
0.0043
The market value of Twilio Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Twilio that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Twilio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Twilio's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Twilio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Twilio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Twilio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Twilio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Twilio's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.