Twilio Inc Stock Analysis

TWLO Stock  USD 102.07  3.63  3.69%   
Twilio Inc is overvalued with Real Value of 86.28 and Target Price of 67.43. The main objective of Twilio stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Twilio Inc is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Twilio's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Twilio stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Twilio is usually not traded on Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday. Twilio Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Twilio Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Twilio Stock Analysis Notes

About 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.83. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Twilio Inc recorded a loss per share of 2.57. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:20 split on the December 12, 2007. Twilio Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides a cloud communications platform that enables developers to build, scale, and operate customer engagement within software applications in the United States and internationally. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California. Twilio operates under Internet Content Information classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 8992 people. To find out more about Twilio Inc contact Jeff Lawson at 415 390 2337 or learn more at https://www.twilio.com.

Twilio Quarterly Total Revenue

1.13 Billion

Twilio Inc Investment Alerts

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.15 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.02 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.81 B.
Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from investing.com: Twilio CFO Viggiano sells shares worth 190,788

Twilio Inc Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Twilio to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period..
14th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
14th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
14th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Twilio Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Twilio's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2021-07-29
2021-06-30-0.13-0.110.0215 
2019-10-30
2019-09-300.010.030.02200 
2017-05-02
2017-03-31-0.06-0.040.0233 
View All Earnings Estimates

Twilio Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Twilio's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Twilio's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Twilio's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Twilio's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Twilio Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Twilio stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Disruptive Technologies Idea
Disruptive Technologies
Firms and ETFs that are involved or betting on industries or trends that are projected to experience exponential growth

Twilio Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Alyeska Investment Group, L.p.2024-06-30
3.2 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
2.7 M
Norges Bank2024-06-30
2.5 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
2.4 M
Pacer Advisors, Inc.2024-06-30
2.3 M
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2024-06-30
1.9 M
Amazon.com Inc2024-09-30
1.8 M
Point72 Asset Management, L.p.2024-06-30
1.3 M
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2024-09-30
1.3 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
16.1 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
11.1 M
Note, although Twilio's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Twilio Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 15.1 B.

Twilio Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.11) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.17)(0.18)
Return On Capital Employed(0.08)(0.08)
Return On Assets(0.09)(0.09)
Return On Equity(0.10)(0.11)

Management Efficiency

As of the 21st of November 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -0.18. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to -0.08. At this time, Twilio's Other Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 21st of November 2024, Intangible Assets is likely to grow to about 411.2 M, while Return On Tangible Assets are likely to drop (0.18). Twilio's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Twilio manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 53.09  55.74 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 22.58  23.70 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(143.82)(151.01)
Price Book Value Ratio 1.43  1.36 
Enterprise Value Multiple(143.82)(151.01)
Price Fair Value 1.43  1.36 
Enterprise Value14.4 B10.8 B
The decision-making processes within Twilio are key to its success in a competitive market. By evaluating these processes, we assess the stock's potential for future gains.
Operating Margin
(0)
Profit Margin
(0.11)
Beta
1.322
Return On Assets
(0.01)
Return On Equity
(0.05)

Technical Drivers

As of the 21st of November, Twilio has the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2409, coefficient of variation of 322.08, and Semi Deviation of 1.13. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Twilio Inc, as well as the relationship between them.

Twilio Inc Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was twenty-three with a total number of output elements of thirty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Twilio middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Twilio Inc. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Twilio Inc Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Twilio insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Twilio's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Twilio insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Twilio Outstanding Bonds

Twilio issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Twilio Inc uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Twilio bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Twilio Inc has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Twilio Predictive Daily Indicators

Twilio intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Twilio stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Twilio Corporate Filings

F4
19th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
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F4
18th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
13A
12th of November 2024
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
ViewVerify
F4
8th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
4th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10Q
31st of October 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
8K
30th of October 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
9th of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Twilio Forecast Models

Twilio's time-series forecasting models are one of many Twilio's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Twilio's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Twilio Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Twilio prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Twilio shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Twilio. By using and applying Twilio Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Twilio entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.24)(0.25)
Operating Profit Margin(0.21)(0.22)
Net Loss(0.24)(0.26)
Gross Profit Margin 0.49  0.57 

Current Twilio Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Twilio analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Twilio analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
67.43Buy29Odds
Twilio Inc current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Twilio analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Twilio stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Twilio Inc, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Twilio conference calls.
Twilio Analyst Advice Details

Twilio Stock Analysis Indicators

Twilio Inc stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Twilio stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Twilio shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Twilio stock analysis, traders can identify Twilio position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow656.1 M
Total Stockholder Equity9.7 B
Capital Lease Obligations188.3 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net283.6 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB
Net Invested Capital10.7 B
Cash655.9 M
50 Day M A73.7766
Total Current Liabilities738.3 M
Forward Price Earnings23.2558
Investments431.4 M
Stock Based Compensation675.9 M
Long Term Debt989 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding183.3 M
Tax Provision22.2 M
Free Cash Flow363.5 M
Other Current Assets329.2 M
Accounts Payable119.6 M
Net Debt521.3 M
Other Operating ExpensesB
Non Current Assets Total6.7 B
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity11.6 B
Non Currrent Assets Other234.8 M
When determining whether Twilio Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Twilio's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Twilio Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Twilio Inc Stock:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Twilio Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Is Internet Services & Infrastructure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Twilio. If investors know Twilio will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Twilio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(2.57)
Revenue Per Share
25.084
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.097
Return On Assets
(0.01)
Return On Equity
(0.05)
The market value of Twilio Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Twilio that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Twilio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Twilio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Twilio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Twilio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Twilio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Twilio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Twilio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.