Vale Sa Adr Stock Performance

VALE Stock  USD 15.90  0.75  4.50%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Vale SA holds a performance score of 18. The entity has a beta of 0.85, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Vale SA returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Vale SA is expected to follow. Please check Vale SA's downside variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether Vale SA's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vale SA ADR are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak essential indicators, Vale SA exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(4.50)
Five Day Return
(9.25)
Year To Date Return
19.91
Ten Year Return
419.61
All Time Return
606.67
Forward Dividend Yield
0.075
Payout Ratio
0.7611
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
1.25
Dividend Date
2026-01-14
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Begin Period Cash Flow4.2 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-5.8 B

Vale SA Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,132  in Vale SA ADR on November 20, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  458.00  from holding Vale SA ADR or generate 40.46% return on investment over 90 days. Vale SA ADR is currently generating 0.6093% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.5472% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 22% of stocks are less volatile than Vale, and 88% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vale SA is expected to generate 3.36 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.36 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.24 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.18 per unit of risk.

Vale SA Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Vale Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 15.90 90 days 15.90 
about 13.9
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vale SA to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 13.9 (This Vale SA ADR probability density function shows the probability of Vale Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vale SA has a beta of 0.85. This entails Vale SA ADR market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Vale SA is expected to follow. Additionally Vale SA ADR has an alpha of 0.4459, implying that it can generate a 0.45 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Vale SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vale SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vale SA ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.0015.5518.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.4116.9619.51
Details
25 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
14.7116.1717.95
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.430.430.43
Details

Vale SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vale SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vale SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vale SA ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vale SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.85
σ
Overall volatility
1.89
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Vale SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vale SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vale SA ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Vale SA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vale Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vale SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vale SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.3 B
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB

Vale SA Fundamentals Growth

Vale Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Vale SA, and Vale SA fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Vale Stock performance.

About Vale SA Performance

By analyzing Vale SA's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Vale SA's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Vale SA has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Vale SA has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 62.34  58.50 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.10  0.11 
Return On Capital Employed 0.16  0.18 
Return On Assets 0.09  0.10 
Return On Equity 0.21  0.23 

Things to note about Vale SA ADR performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vale SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Vale SA ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Vale SA's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Vale SA's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Vale SA's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Vale SA's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Vale SA's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Vale SA's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Vale SA's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Vale SA's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Vale SA's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Vale SA's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Vale SA's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Vale Stock analysis

When running Vale SA's price analysis, check to measure Vale SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vale SA is operating at the current time. Most of Vale SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vale SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vale SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vale SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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