Vale Sa Adr Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 9.50 11.66 13.82 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 7.15 9.31 11.48 Details

24 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 14.86 16.33 18.13 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 0.42 0.50 0.57 Details

Vale SA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Vale SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Vale SA Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.08	2.17	0.02	0.00	8 Events / Month	7 Events / Month	In about 8 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
9.96	9.97	0.10	868.00   Notes

Vale SA Hype Timeline

Vale SA ADR is at this time traded for 9.96. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Vale is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 9.97 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Vale SA is about 65100.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.96. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 41.66 B. Net Income was 11.15 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 102.31 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Vale SA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Vale SA Related Hype Analysis

Vale SA Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Vale price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vale using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vale charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Vale SA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vale SA ADR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vale SA based on analysis of Vale SA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Vale SA depends on current market conditions and Vale SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vale SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vale SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Vale SA's future price predictability will typically decrease when Vale SA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vale SA ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vale SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vale SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Vale SA's price analysis, check to measure Vale SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vale SA is operating at the current time. Most of Vale SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vale SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vale SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vale SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.