ChengDu Hi (China) Price Prediction
000628 Stock | 57.79 1.15 2.03% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
55
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.62) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
Using ChengDu Hi hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ChengDu Hi Tech Development from the perspective of ChengDu Hi response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ChengDu Hi to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ChengDu because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
ChengDu Hi after-hype prediction price | CNY 57.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
ChengDu |
ChengDu Hi After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ChengDu Hi at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ChengDu Hi or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ChengDu Hi, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
ChengDu Hi Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ChengDu Hi's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ChengDu Hi's historical news coverage. ChengDu Hi's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 52.85 and 62.73, respectively. We have considered ChengDu Hi's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ChengDu Hi is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ChengDu Hi Tech is based on 3 months time horizon.
ChengDu Hi Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ChengDu Hi is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ChengDu Hi backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ChengDu Hi, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.91 | 4.97 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
57.79 | 57.79 | 0.00 |
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ChengDu Hi Hype Timeline
ChengDu Hi Tech is presently traded for 57.79on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. ChengDu is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.91%. %. The volatility of related hype on ChengDu Hi is about 16566.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 57.82. About 54.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company last dividend was issued on the 23rd of August 2024. ChengDu Hi Tech had 13:10 split on the 12th of July 2006. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out ChengDu Hi Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.ChengDu Hi Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ChengDu Hi's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ChengDu Hi's future price movements. Getting to know how ChengDu Hi's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ChengDu Hi may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
600742 | Changchun Faway Automobile | (0.41) | 2 per month | 1.97 | 0.09 | 3.88 | (3.15) | 12.33 | |
000625 | Chongqing Changan Automobile | 0.16 | 1 per month | 2.52 | (0.01) | 4.77 | (3.65) | 19.25 | |
600418 | Anhui Jianghuai Automobile | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.85 | 0.19 | 9.99 | (5.75) | 18.20 | |
600006 | Dongfeng Automobile Co | 0.28 | 1 per month | 3.21 | 0.01 | 5.14 | (5.31) | 18.86 | |
002021 | Zoje Resources Investment | 0.21 | 6 per month | 2.70 | 0.14 | 10.04 | (3.19) | 20.19 | |
000609 | Beijing Mainstreets Investment | 0.00 | 1 per month | 2.95 | 0.12 | 5.18 | (5.10) | 10.39 | |
600864 | Harbin Hatou Investment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.62 | 0.09 | 6.91 | (4.99) | 20.02 | |
601238 | Guangzhou Automobile Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.19 | 0.04 | 3.68 | (3.68) | 15.37 |
ChengDu Hi Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ChengDu price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ChengDu using various technical indicators. When you analyze ChengDu charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About ChengDu Hi Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of ChengDu Hi stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ChengDu Hi Tech Development, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ChengDu Hi based on analysis of ChengDu Hi hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ChengDu Hi's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ChengDu Hi's related companies.
Story Coverage note for ChengDu Hi
The number of cover stories for ChengDu Hi depends on current market conditions and ChengDu Hi's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ChengDu Hi is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ChengDu Hi's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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ChengDu Hi Short Properties
ChengDu Hi's future price predictability will typically decrease when ChengDu Hi's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ChengDu Hi Tech Development often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ChengDu Hi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ChengDu Hi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 352.3 M | |
Dividends Paid | 89.5 M | |
Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.15 |
Complementary Tools for ChengDu Stock analysis
When running ChengDu Hi's price analysis, check to measure ChengDu Hi's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ChengDu Hi is operating at the current time. Most of ChengDu Hi's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ChengDu Hi's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ChengDu Hi's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ChengDu Hi to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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