Guosheng Financial (China) Price Prediction
| 002670 Stock | 11.00 0.55 4.76% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
59
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.60) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.24) |
Using Guosheng Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Guosheng Financial Holding from the perspective of Guosheng Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Guosheng Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Guosheng because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Guosheng Financial after-hype prediction price | CNY 10.87 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Guosheng |
Guosheng Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Guosheng Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Guosheng Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Guosheng Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Guosheng Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Guosheng Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Guosheng Financial's historical news coverage. Guosheng Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.98 and 14.76, respectively. We have considered Guosheng Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Guosheng Financial is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Guosheng Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Guosheng Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Guosheng Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Guosheng Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Guosheng Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.45 | 3.89 | 0.13 | 0.18 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
11.00 | 10.87 | 1.18 |
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Guosheng Financial Hype Timeline
Guosheng Financial is presently traded for 11.00on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.18. Guosheng is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 10.87. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -1.18%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.45%. The volatility of related hype on Guosheng Financial is about 951.36%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.18. About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.93. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Guosheng Financial last dividend was issued on the 29th of June 2018. The entity had 1.300893:1 split on the 29th of June 2018. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Guosheng Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Guosheng Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Guosheng Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Guosheng Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Guosheng Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Guosheng Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 688235 | BeiGene | 0.67 | 4 per month | 2.96 | 0.05 | 5.84 | (4.77) | 18.86 | |
| 600519 | Kweichow Moutai Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.87 | 0.0007 | 6.55 | (2.98) | 16.71 | |
| 688169 | Beijing Roborock Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.31 | (0.02) | 6.51 | (5.75) | 34.80 | |
| 603444 | G bits Network Technology | (1.83) | 1 per month | 3.16 | (0.02) | 5.21 | (4.79) | 18.75 | |
| 600941 | China Mobile Limited | 0.71 | 2 per month | 1.18 | (0.08) | 2.05 | (2.04) | 8.38 | |
| 688399 | Jiangsu Bioperfectus Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.90 | (0.04) | 4.07 | (4.33) | 20.86 | |
| 000661 | Changchun High New | 6.21 | 3 per month | 2.10 | 0.07 | 7.55 | (3.55) | 17.13 | |
| 002371 | NAURA Technology Group | 3.18 | 2 per month | 2.07 | 0.11 | 9.80 | (3.99) | 15.93 | |
| 300750 | Contemporary Amperex Technology | (5.26) | 2 per month | 2.98 | 0.14 | 7.94 | (3.41) | 33.42 |
Guosheng Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Guosheng price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Guosheng using various technical indicators. When you analyze Guosheng charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Guosheng Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Guosheng Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Guosheng Financial Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Guosheng Financial based on analysis of Guosheng Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Guosheng Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Guosheng Financial's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Guosheng Financial
The number of cover stories for Guosheng Financial depends on current market conditions and Guosheng Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Guosheng Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Guosheng Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Guosheng Financial Short Properties
Guosheng Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Guosheng Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Guosheng Financial Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Guosheng Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guosheng Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 B |
Complementary Tools for Guosheng Stock analysis
When running Guosheng Financial's price analysis, check to measure Guosheng Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guosheng Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Guosheng Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guosheng Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guosheng Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guosheng Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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