Geron (China) Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 9.13 13.13 17.13 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 12.89 16.89 20.89 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 0.00 0.00 0.00 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Geron. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Geron's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Geron's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Geron.

Geron After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Geron Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Geron Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.75	4.00	0.13	0.03	2 Events / Month	0 Events / Month	In a few days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
16.90	17.03	0.77	2,222   Notes

Geron Hype Timeline

Geron is presently traded for 16.90on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Geron is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 17.03 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 0.77%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.75%. The volatility of related hype on Geron is about 9333.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.87. The company reported the revenue of 2.79 B. Net Income was 125.64 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 374.12 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Geron Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Geron Stock refer to our How to Trade Geron Stock guide.

Geron Related Hype Analysis

Geron Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Geron price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Geron using various technical indicators. When you analyze Geron charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Geron stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Geron Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Geron based on analysis of Geron hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Geron depends on current market conditions and Geron's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Geron is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Geron's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Geron's future price predictability will typically decrease when Geron's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Geron Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Geron's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Geron's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Geron's price analysis, check to measure Geron's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Geron is operating at the current time. Most of Geron's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Geron's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Geron's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Geron to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.