British American (UK) Price Prediction
| 0A76 Stock | 37.12 0.14 0.38% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.138 | Wall Street Target Price 53.7 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.08) |
Using British American hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of British American Tobacco from the perspective of British American response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in British American to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying British because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
British American after-hype prediction price | USD 37.12 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
British |
British American After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of British American at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in British American or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of British American, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
British American Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting British American's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on British American's historical news coverage. British American's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.02 and 38.22, respectively. We have considered British American's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
British American is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of British American Tobacco is based on 3 months time horizon.
British American Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as British American is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading British American backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with British American, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.09 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
37.12 | 37.12 | 0.00 |
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British American Hype Timeline
British American Tobacco is presently traded for 37.12on London Exchange of UK. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.2. British is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on British American is about 10.92%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.92. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. British American Tobacco had 2:1 split on the 14th of February 2017. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be very soon. Check out British American Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.British American Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to British American's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict British American's future price movements. Getting to know how British American's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how British American may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SMSD | Samsung Electronics Co | 7.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 2.72 | (3.78) | 10.21 | |
| SMSN | Samsung Electronics Co | (2.00) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 3.19 | (4.02) | 13.39 | |
| HYUD | Hyundai Motor | (0.60) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.76 | (3.64) | 12.58 | |
| TYT | Toyota Motor Corp | (37.50) | 3 per month | 2.14 | (0.04) | 3.04 | (3.19) | 12.68 | |
| 0RUK | MOL Hungarian Oil | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.70 | |
| RIGD | Reliance Industries Ltd | 0.1 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 2.47 | (2.70) | 7.89 | |
| 0R15 | SoftBank Group Corp | (56.86) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 5.19 | (6.96) | 15.31 | |
| HHPD | Hon Hai Precision | (0.04) | 2 per month | 1.76 | 0.02 | 3.14 | (3.02) | 8.38 | |
| SBID | State Bank of | 0.1 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.23 | (2.41) | 8.15 |
British American Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine British price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for British using various technical indicators. When you analyze British charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About British American Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of British American stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as British American Tobacco, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of British American based on analysis of British American hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to British American's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to British American's related companies.
Story Coverage note for British American
The number of cover stories for British American depends on current market conditions and British American's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that British American is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about British American's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for British Stock Analysis
When running British American's price analysis, check to measure British American's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy British American is operating at the current time. Most of British American's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of British American's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move British American's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of British American to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.