Park Hotels (UK) Price Prediction
| 0KFU Stock | 15.36 0.03 0.19% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
62
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.02 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
Using Park Hotels hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Park Hotels Resorts from the perspective of Park Hotels response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Park Hotels to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Park because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Park Hotels after-hype prediction price | USD 15.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Park |
Park Hotels After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Park Hotels at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Park Hotels or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Park Hotels, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Park Hotels Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Park Hotels' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Park Hotels' historical news coverage. Park Hotels' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.50 and 17.28, respectively. We have considered Park Hotels' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Park Hotels is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Park Hotels Resorts is based on 3 months time horizon.
Park Hotels Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Park Hotels is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Park Hotels backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Park Hotels, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.87 | 0.00 | 0.72 | 3 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.36 | 15.39 | 0.00 |
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Park Hotels Hype Timeline
Park Hotels Resorts is presently traded for 15.36on London Exchange of UK. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.72. Park is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Park Hotels is about 20.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.64. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.38. Park Hotels Resorts had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Park Hotels Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Park Hotels Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Park Hotels' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Park Hotels' future price movements. Getting to know how Park Hotels' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Park Hotels may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SMSD | Samsung Electronics Co | 7.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 2.80 | (3.78) | 10.21 | |
| SMSN | Samsung Electronics Co | (2.00) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 3.19 | (4.02) | 13.39 | |
| HYUD | Hyundai Motor | (0.80) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.76 | (3.64) | 12.58 | |
| TYT | Toyota Motor Corp | (19.00) | 3 per month | 2.14 | (0.04) | 3.04 | (3.19) | 12.68 | |
| RIGD | Reliance Industries Ltd | (0.50) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 2.47 | (2.70) | 7.89 | |
| 0R15 | SoftBank Group Corp | (56.86) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.19 | (6.63) | 15.31 | |
| HHPD | Hon Hai Precision | (0.04) | 2 per month | 1.79 | 0.02 | 3.14 | (3.02) | 8.38 | |
| SBID | State Bank of | 0.1 | 3 per month | 1.34 | (0.06) | 2.44 | (2.41) | 8.15 |
Park Hotels Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Park price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Park using various technical indicators. When you analyze Park charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Park Hotels Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Park Hotels stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Park Hotels Resorts, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Park Hotels based on analysis of Park Hotels hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Park Hotels's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Park Hotels's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Park Hotels
The number of cover stories for Park Hotels depends on current market conditions and Park Hotels' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Park Hotels is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Park Hotels' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Park Hotels Short Properties
Park Hotels' future price predictability will typically decrease when Park Hotels' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Park Hotels Resorts often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Park Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Park Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 215 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 152 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 717 M | |
| Shares Float | 202.8 M |
Additional Tools for Park Stock Analysis
When running Park Hotels' price analysis, check to measure Park Hotels' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Park Hotels is operating at the current time. Most of Park Hotels' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Park Hotels' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Park Hotels' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Park Hotels to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.