SGL Carbon (UK) Price Patterns
| 0MPL Stock | 4.56 0.10 2.15% |
Momentum 72
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.75) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.18) |
Using SGL Carbon hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SGL Carbon SE from the perspective of SGL Carbon response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SGL Carbon to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SGL because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
SGL Carbon after-hype prediction price | EUR 4.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SGL |
SGL Carbon After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SGL Carbon at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SGL Carbon or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SGL Carbon, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SGL Carbon Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SGL Carbon's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SGL Carbon's historical news coverage. SGL Carbon's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.08 and 8.02, respectively. We have considered SGL Carbon's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SGL Carbon is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SGL Carbon SE is based on 3 months time horizon.
SGL Carbon Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SGL Carbon is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SGL Carbon backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SGL Carbon, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.94 | 3.47 | 0.01 | 2.05 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.56 | 4.55 | 0.22 |
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SGL Carbon Hype Timeline
SGL Carbon SE is presently traded for 4.56on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -2.05. SGL is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.55. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.22%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.94%. The volatility of related hype on SGL Carbon is about 159.17%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.51. About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. SGL Carbon SE had 883:800 split on the 30th of November 2016. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 3 days. Check out SGL Carbon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.SGL Carbon Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SGL Carbon's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SGL Carbon's future price movements. Getting to know how SGL Carbon's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SGL Carbon may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OIT | Odyssean Investment Trust | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.85 | 0.01 | 2.00 | (1.64) | 4.17 | |
| MRC | The Mercantile Investment | (1.00) | 4 per month | 0.58 | 0.05 | 1.33 | (1.18) | 3.51 | |
| LWI | Lowland Investment Co | 0.50 | 3 per month | 0.52 | 0.20 | 1.47 | (0.96) | 2.89 | |
| IIG | Intuitive Investments Group | 2.50 | 7 per month | 1.84 | 0.20 | 6.02 | (2.88) | 18.92 | |
| 0FF9 | Nordic Semiconductor ASA | (4.20) | 2 per month | 1.91 | 0.0003 | 3.99 | (3.11) | 18.28 | |
| 0LCV | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing | (10.88) | 7 per month | 1.87 | 0.15 | 4.48 | (2.93) | 10.72 |
SGL Carbon Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SGL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SGL using various technical indicators. When you analyze SGL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About SGL Carbon Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of SGL Carbon stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SGL Carbon SE, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SGL Carbon based on analysis of SGL Carbon hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SGL Carbon's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SGL Carbon's related companies.
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for SGL Stock Analysis
When running SGL Carbon's price analysis, check to measure SGL Carbon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SGL Carbon is operating at the current time. Most of SGL Carbon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SGL Carbon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SGL Carbon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SGL Carbon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.