Cathay Chemical (Taiwan) Price Prediction
| 1713 Stock | TWD 47.95 0.35 0.74% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
38
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Cathay Chemical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cathay Chemical Works from the perspective of Cathay Chemical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cathay Chemical to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cathay because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Cathay Chemical after-hype prediction price | TWD 47.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Cathay |
Cathay Chemical After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cathay Chemical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cathay Chemical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cathay Chemical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cathay Chemical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cathay Chemical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cathay Chemical's historical news coverage. Cathay Chemical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 47.04 and 48.86, respectively. We have considered Cathay Chemical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cathay Chemical is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cathay Chemical Works is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cathay Chemical Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cathay Chemical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cathay Chemical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cathay Chemical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
47.95 | 47.95 | 0.00 |
|
Cathay Chemical Hype Timeline
Cathay Chemical Works is presently traded for 47.95on Taiwan Stock Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Cathay is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cathay Chemical is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 47.95. About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.52. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Cathay Chemical Works last dividend was issued on the 4th of August 2022. The entity had 107:100 split on the 3rd of July 2000. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Cathay Chemical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Cathay Chemical Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cathay Chemical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cathay Chemical's future price movements. Getting to know how Cathay Chemical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cathay Chemical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 1727 | Chung Hwa Chemical | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.90 | 0.06 | 4.97 | (5.45) | 15.95 | |
| 1718 | China Man Made Fiber | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.20 | (0.09) | 2.33 | (1.21) | 11.81 | |
| 1708 | Sesoda Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.97 | 0.01 | 4.12 | (3.42) | 17.19 | |
| 1711 | Everlight Chemical Industrial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.36 | 0.01 | 5.58 | (3.95) | 17.22 |
Cathay Chemical Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cathay price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cathay using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cathay charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Cathay Chemical Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Cathay Chemical stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cathay Chemical Works, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cathay Chemical based on analysis of Cathay Chemical hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cathay Chemical's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cathay Chemical's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Cathay Chemical
The number of cover stories for Cathay Chemical depends on current market conditions and Cathay Chemical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cathay Chemical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cathay Chemical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Cathay Chemical Short Properties
Cathay Chemical's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cathay Chemical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cathay Chemical Works often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cathay Chemical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cathay Chemical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 151 M |
Additional Tools for Cathay Stock Analysis
When running Cathay Chemical's price analysis, check to measure Cathay Chemical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cathay Chemical is operating at the current time. Most of Cathay Chemical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cathay Chemical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cathay Chemical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cathay Chemical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.