Winner Medical Co (China) Price Prediction

300888 Stock   34.97  0.23  0.65%   
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Winner Medical Co's share price is at 56. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Winner Medical Co, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

56

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Winner Medical Co's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Winner Medical Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Winner Medical Co's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.88)
Wall Street Target Price
36
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.168
Using Winner Medical Co hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Winner Medical Co from the perspective of Winner Medical Co response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Winner Medical Co to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Winner because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Winner Medical Co after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 35.34  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Winner Medical Co Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.1027.4338.72
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Winner Medical Co. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Winner Medical Co's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Winner Medical Co's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Winner Medical Co.

Winner Medical Co After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Winner Medical Co at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Winner Medical Co or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Winner Medical Co, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Winner Medical Co Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Winner Medical Co's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Winner Medical Co's historical news coverage. Winner Medical Co's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 31.01 and 39.67, respectively. We have considered Winner Medical Co's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
34.97
35.34
After-hype Price
39.67
Upside
Winner Medical Co is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Winner Medical Co is based on 3 months time horizon.

Winner Medical Co Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Winner Medical Co is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Winner Medical Co backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Winner Medical Co, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.69 
4.33
  0.14 
  0.08 
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
34.97
35.34
0.40 
2,165  
Notes

Winner Medical Co Hype Timeline

Winner Medical Co is presently traded for 34.97on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Winner is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 35.34 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 0.4%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.69%. The volatility of related hype on Winner Medical Co is about 3524.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.05. The company reported the revenue of 8.19 B. Net Income was 580.4 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.38 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Winner Medical Co Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Winner Medical Co Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Winner Medical Co's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Winner Medical Co's future price movements. Getting to know how Winner Medical Co's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Winner Medical Co may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
601857PetroChina Co Ltd(0.09)1 per month 0.00 (0.13) 3.43 (3.33) 17.17 
600941China Mobile Limited 0.71 2 per month 1.18 (0.07) 2.05 (2.04) 8.38 
601318Ping An Insurance 0.26 1 per month 1.85  0.1  5.83 (2.83) 19.77 
600028China Petroleum Chemical 0.06 1 per month 0.00 (0.08) 4.21 (3.26) 10.77 
601728China Telecom Corp(0.06)1 per month 1.74  0.02  3.49 (2.81) 11.12 
600519Kweichow Moutai Co 0.00 0 per month 1.87  0  6.55 (2.98) 16.71 
601628China Life Insurance(0.02)3 per month 2.31  0.11  6.42 (3.18) 20.00 

Winner Medical Co Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Winner price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Winner using various technical indicators. When you analyze Winner charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Winner Medical Co Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Winner Medical Co stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Winner Medical Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Winner Medical Co based on analysis of Winner Medical Co hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Winner Medical Co's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Winner Medical Co's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Winner Medical Co

The number of cover stories for Winner Medical Co depends on current market conditions and Winner Medical Co's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Winner Medical Co is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Winner Medical Co's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Winner Medical Co Short Properties

Winner Medical Co's future price predictability will typically decrease when Winner Medical Co's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Winner Medical Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Winner Medical Co's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Winner Medical Co's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding594.4 M

Complementary Tools for Winner Stock analysis

When running Winner Medical Co's price analysis, check to measure Winner Medical Co's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Winner Medical Co is operating at the current time. Most of Winner Medical Co's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Winner Medical Co's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Winner Medical Co's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Winner Medical Co to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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