Paragon Banking (Germany) Price Prediction
| 46P1 Stock | EUR 8.80 0.10 1.15% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
61
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Paragon Banking hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Paragon Banking Group from the perspective of Paragon Banking response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Paragon Banking to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Paragon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Paragon Banking after-hype prediction price | EUR 8.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Paragon |
Paragon Banking After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Paragon Banking at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Paragon Banking or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Paragon Banking, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Paragon Banking Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Paragon Banking's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Paragon Banking's historical news coverage. Paragon Banking's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.77 and 10.83, respectively. We have considered Paragon Banking's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Paragon Banking is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Paragon Banking Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Paragon Banking Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Paragon Banking is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Paragon Banking backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Paragon Banking, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 2.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
8.80 | 8.80 | 0.00 |
|
Paragon Banking Hype Timeline
Paragon Banking Group is presently traded for 8.80on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Paragon is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Paragon Banking is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.80. About 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds. The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.84. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Paragon Banking Group last dividend was issued on the 2nd of February 2023. The entity had 1:10 split on the 29th of January 2008. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Paragon Banking Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Paragon Banking Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Paragon Banking's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Paragon Banking's future price movements. Getting to know how Paragon Banking's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Paragon Banking may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| F6H | Far East Horizon | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.41 | 0.15 | 5.36 | (1.79) | 93.25 | |
| 5WD | Walker Dunlop | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.56 | (2.86) | 9.48 | |
| 46P1 | Paragon Banking Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.76 | (0.01) | 3.37 | (3.33) | 9.97 | |
| 19H | Hercules Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.08 | 0.04 | 2.08 | (1.47) | 6.29 | |
| BEW | DIVERSIFIED ROYALTY | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.27 | 0.02 | 5.29 | (3.90) | 12.35 | |
| FHL | Federal Home Loan | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.21 | 0.20 | 16.57 | (10.76) | 44.54 | |
| 4HF | Hoist Finance AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.66 | 0.02 | 3.83 | (4.16) | 25.69 |
Paragon Banking Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Paragon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Paragon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Paragon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Paragon Banking Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Paragon Banking stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Paragon Banking Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Paragon Banking based on analysis of Paragon Banking hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Paragon Banking's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Paragon Banking's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Paragon Banking
The number of cover stories for Paragon Banking depends on current market conditions and Paragon Banking's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Paragon Banking is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Paragon Banking's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Paragon Banking Short Properties
Paragon Banking's future price predictability will typically decrease when Paragon Banking's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Paragon Banking Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Paragon Banking's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Paragon Banking's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 237.8 M |
Complementary Tools for Paragon Stock analysis
When running Paragon Banking's price analysis, check to measure Paragon Banking's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Paragon Banking is operating at the current time. Most of Paragon Banking's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Paragon Banking's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Paragon Banking's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Paragon Banking to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Stock Screener Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook. | |
| Volatility Analysis Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data | |
| Correlation Analysis Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated | |
| Alpha Finder Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk | |
| Positions Ratings Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Portfolio Dashboard Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments |