AVIC Fund (China) Price Prediction
| 508096 Stock | 10.06 0.05 0.50% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
70
Oversold | Overbought |
Using AVIC Fund hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AVIC Fund Management from the perspective of AVIC Fund response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AVIC Fund to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AVIC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
AVIC Fund after-hype prediction price | CNY 10.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
AVIC |
AVIC Fund Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility
As far as predicting the price of AVIC Fund at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AVIC Fund or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AVIC Fund, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AVIC Fund Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AVIC Fund is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AVIC Fund backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AVIC Fund, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.06 | 10.06 | 0.00 |
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AVIC Fund Hype Timeline
AVIC Fund Management is presently traded for 10.06on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. AVIC is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on AVIC Fund is about 170.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.06. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out AVIC Fund Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.AVIC Fund Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AVIC Fund's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AVIC Fund's future price movements. Getting to know how AVIC Fund's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AVIC Fund may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 688355 | Suzhou Mingzhi Technology | 0.26 | 1 per month | 2.69 | 0.16 | 9.83 | (5.04) | 24.22 | |
| 002124 | Ningbo Tech Bank Co | 0.16 | 2 per month | 2.20 | 0.10 | 5.06 | (4.31) | 9.85 | |
| 002152 | GRG Banking Equipment | 0.61 | 2 per month | 2.33 | 0.08 | 5.43 | (3.78) | 16.74 | |
| 000997 | Fujian Newland Computer | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.85 | 0.17 | 7.67 | (4.85) | 17.13 | |
| 000799 | Jiugui Liquor Co | 0.24 | 2 per month | 2.60 | 0.12 | 10.00 | (4.14) | 19.06 | |
| 600015 | Hua Xia Bank | (0.07) | 1 per month | 1.87 | 0.05 | 4.71 | (3.23) | 13.03 |
AVIC Fund Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AVIC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AVIC using various technical indicators. When you analyze AVIC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About AVIC Fund Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of AVIC Fund stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AVIC Fund Management, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AVIC Fund based on analysis of AVIC Fund hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AVIC Fund's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AVIC Fund's related companies.
Story Coverage note for AVIC Fund
The number of cover stories for AVIC Fund depends on current market conditions and AVIC Fund's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AVIC Fund is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AVIC Fund's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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AVIC Fund Short Properties
AVIC Fund's future price predictability will typically decrease when AVIC Fund's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AVIC Fund Management often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AVIC Fund's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AVIC Fund's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.1554 |
Complementary Tools for AVIC Stock analysis
When running AVIC Fund's price analysis, check to measure AVIC Fund's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AVIC Fund is operating at the current time. Most of AVIC Fund's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AVIC Fund's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AVIC Fund's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AVIC Fund to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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