Hong Leong (Malaysia) Price Prediction
| 5819 Stock | 20.48 0.02 0.1% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
47
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Hong Leong hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hong Leong Bank from the perspective of Hong Leong response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hong Leong to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hong because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Hong Leong after-hype prediction price | MYR 20.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Hong |
Hong Leong After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hong Leong at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hong Leong or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hong Leong, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hong Leong Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hong Leong's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hong Leong's historical news coverage. Hong Leong's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.58 and 21.42, respectively. We have considered Hong Leong's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hong Leong is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hong Leong Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hong Leong Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hong Leong is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hong Leong backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hong Leong, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
20.48 | 20.50 | 0.00 |
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Hong Leong Hype Timeline
Hong Leong Bank is presently traded for 20.48on Kuala Lumpur Exchange of Malaysia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Hong is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hong Leong is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.48. The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.39. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Hong Leong Bank had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1193:1153 split on the 25th of November 2015. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Hong Leong Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Hong Leong Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hong Leong's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hong Leong's future price movements. Getting to know how Hong Leong's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hong Leong may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 1295 | Public Bank Bhd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.34 | (2.13) | 9.31 | |
| 0277 | Cloudpoint Technology Berhad | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.18 | 0.03 | 6.02 | (3.80) | 12.56 | |
| 5317 | CPE Technology Berhad | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 4.65 | (4.76) | 17.05 | |
| 5819 | Hong Leong Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.60 | (0.05) | 1.06 | (1.30) | 6.40 | |
| 0123 | Privasia Technology Bhd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 10.00 | (9.09) | 19.09 | |
| 0146 | JF Technology BHD | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 3.23 | (3.23) | 13.35 | |
| 7172 | PMB Technology Bhd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 6.42 | (6.07) | 17.05 | |
| 7076 | CB Industrial Product | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.32 | (0.05) | 2.34 | (2.26) | 6.79 |
Hong Leong Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hong price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hong using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hong charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Hong Leong Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Hong Leong stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hong Leong Bank, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hong Leong based on analysis of Hong Leong hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hong Leong's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hong Leong's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Hong Leong
The number of cover stories for Hong Leong depends on current market conditions and Hong Leong's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hong Leong is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hong Leong's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hong Leong Short Properties
Hong Leong's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hong Leong's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hong Leong Bank often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hong Leong's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hong Leong's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.5 B |
Other Information on Investing in Hong Stock
Hong Leong financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hong with respect to the benefits of owning Hong Leong security.