Vista Outdoor (Germany) Price Prediction
| 5VO Stock | EUR 23.73 0.00 0.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
74
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Vista Outdoor hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vista Outdoor from the perspective of Vista Outdoor response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vista Outdoor to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vista because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Vista Outdoor after-hype prediction price | EUR 23.73 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Vista |
Vista Outdoor After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vista Outdoor at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vista Outdoor or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vista Outdoor, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Vista Outdoor Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vista Outdoor's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vista Outdoor's historical news coverage. Vista Outdoor's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.43 and 30.03, respectively. We have considered Vista Outdoor's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vista Outdoor is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vista Outdoor is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vista Outdoor Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vista Outdoor is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vista Outdoor backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vista Outdoor, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.50 | 6.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
23.73 | 23.73 | 0.00 |
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Vista Outdoor Hype Timeline
Vista Outdoor is presently traded for 23.73on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Vista is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.5%. %. The volatility of related hype on Vista Outdoor is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.73. About 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds. The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.08. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Vista Outdoor recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.64. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.Vista Outdoor Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vista Outdoor's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vista Outdoor's future price movements. Getting to know how Vista Outdoor's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vista Outdoor may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BAC | Verizon Communications | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 1.90 | (1.87) | 6.48 | |
| C8C | Consolidated Communications Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.47 | 0.13 | 1.42 | (0.93) | 3.36 | |
| QCH | Computershare Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.24 | 0.18 | 2.59 | (2.53) | 11.98 | |
| B2W | BORR DRILLING NEW | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.91 | (7.01) | 17.64 | |
| AFG | AM EAGLE OUTFITTERS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.36 | (3.37) | 18.58 | |
| 6GC | Gamma Communications plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.15 | (2.11) | 7.40 | |
| RYAA | RYU Apparel | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Vista Outdoor Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vista price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vista using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vista charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Vista Outdoor Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Vista Outdoor stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vista Outdoor, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vista Outdoor based on analysis of Vista Outdoor hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Vista Outdoor's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vista Outdoor's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Vista Outdoor
The number of cover stories for Vista Outdoor depends on current market conditions and Vista Outdoor's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vista Outdoor is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vista Outdoor's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Vista Outdoor Short Properties
Vista Outdoor's future price predictability will typically decrease when Vista Outdoor's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vista Outdoor often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vista Outdoor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vista Outdoor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 56.1 M |
Complementary Tools for Vista Stock analysis
When running Vista Outdoor's price analysis, check to measure Vista Outdoor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vista Outdoor is operating at the current time. Most of Vista Outdoor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vista Outdoor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vista Outdoor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vista Outdoor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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