Baoshan Iron (China) Price Prediction

600019 Stock   6.52  0.04  0.61%   
As of 26th of November 2024, The relative strength momentum indicator of Baoshan Iron's share price is at 50. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Baoshan Iron, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

50

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Baoshan Iron's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Baoshan Iron Steel, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Baoshan Iron's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.68)
Wall Street Target Price
7.71
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.11
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
Using Baoshan Iron hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Baoshan Iron Steel from the perspective of Baoshan Iron response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Baoshan Iron to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Baoshan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Baoshan Iron after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 6.56  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Baoshan Iron Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.785.398.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Baoshan Iron After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Baoshan Iron at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Baoshan Iron or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Baoshan Iron, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Baoshan Iron Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Baoshan Iron's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Baoshan Iron's historical news coverage. Baoshan Iron's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.95 and 9.17, respectively. We have considered Baoshan Iron's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
6.52
6.56
After-hype Price
9.17
Upside
Baoshan Iron is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Baoshan Iron Steel is based on 3 months time horizon.

Baoshan Iron Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Baoshan Iron is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Baoshan Iron backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Baoshan Iron, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.18 
2.59
 0.00  
  0.04 
3 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.52
6.56
0.00 
25,900  
Notes

Baoshan Iron Hype Timeline

Baoshan Iron Steel is presently traded for 6.52on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.04. Baoshan is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on Baoshan Iron is about 1120.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.56. About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.72. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Baoshan Iron Steel has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.72. The entity last dividend was issued on the 25th of September 2024. The firm had 602:557 split on the 20th of April 2005. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Baoshan Iron Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Baoshan Iron Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Baoshan Iron's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Baoshan Iron's future price movements. Getting to know how Baoshan Iron's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Baoshan Iron may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
600309Wanhua Chemical Group 2.20 3 per month 2.23 (0.02) 3.92 (3.47) 16.38 
600547Shandong Gold Mining(0.35)3 per month 0.00 (0.17) 3.52 (3.29) 12.15 
002493Rongsheng Petrochemical Co(0.06)3 per month 2.06  0.01  4.12 (3.38) 15.52 
600010Inner Mongolia BaoTou 0.03 2 per month 2.30  0.13  7.46 (4.00) 19.48 
002460Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium 0.00 0 per month 3.19  0.16  9.99 (5.78) 20.00 
603260Hoshine Silicon Ind 0.00 0 per month 2.50  0.09  4.90 (3.79) 17.89 
600160Zhejiang Juhua Co 0.21 1 per month 2.47  0.04  5.26 (5.00) 15.23 
000807Yunnan Aluminium Co(0.18)1 per month 2.25  0.05  4.73 (3.27) 15.53 

Baoshan Iron Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Baoshan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Baoshan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Baoshan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Baoshan Iron Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Baoshan Iron stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Baoshan Iron Steel, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Baoshan Iron based on analysis of Baoshan Iron hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Baoshan Iron's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Baoshan Iron's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Baoshan Iron

The number of cover stories for Baoshan Iron depends on current market conditions and Baoshan Iron's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Baoshan Iron is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Baoshan Iron's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Baoshan Iron Short Properties

Baoshan Iron's future price predictability will typically decrease when Baoshan Iron's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Baoshan Iron Steel often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Baoshan Iron's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Baoshan Iron's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding22.1 B

Complementary Tools for Baoshan Stock analysis

When running Baoshan Iron's price analysis, check to measure Baoshan Iron's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Baoshan Iron is operating at the current time. Most of Baoshan Iron's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Baoshan Iron's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Baoshan Iron's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Baoshan Iron to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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