Shanxi Lanhua (China) Price Prediction
| 600123 Stock | 8.63 0.07 0.82% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.64) | Wall Street Target Price 11 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
Using Shanxi Lanhua hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Shanxi Lanhua Sci Tech from the perspective of Shanxi Lanhua response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Shanxi Lanhua to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Shanxi because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Shanxi Lanhua after-hype prediction price | CNY 8.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Shanxi |
Shanxi Lanhua After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Shanxi Lanhua at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Shanxi Lanhua or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Shanxi Lanhua, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Shanxi Lanhua Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Shanxi Lanhua's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Shanxi Lanhua's historical news coverage. Shanxi Lanhua's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.71 and 11.65, respectively. We have considered Shanxi Lanhua's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Shanxi Lanhua is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Shanxi Lanhua Sci is based on 3 months time horizon.
Shanxi Lanhua Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Shanxi Lanhua is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Shanxi Lanhua backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Shanxi Lanhua, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 2.99 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
8.63 | 8.68 | 0.58 |
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Shanxi Lanhua Hype Timeline
Shanxi Lanhua Sci is presently traded for 8.63on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Shanxi is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 8.68 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 0.58%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Shanxi Lanhua is about 713.6%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.71. The company reported the revenue of 13.28 B. Net Income was 2.1 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.52 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon. Check out Shanxi Lanhua Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Shanxi Lanhua Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Shanxi Lanhua's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Shanxi Lanhua's future price movements. Getting to know how Shanxi Lanhua's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Shanxi Lanhua may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 002443 | Zhejiang Kingland Pipeline | 0.01 | 1 per month | 1.87 | 0.05 | 3.82 | (3.68) | 14.84 | |
| 600307 | Gansu Jiu Steel | 0.06 | 1 per month | 2.83 | 0.11 | 9.56 | (3.55) | 19.98 | |
| 002429 | Shenzhen MTC Co | (0.1) | 2 per month | 2.50 | (0.01) | 4.64 | (4.14) | 14.22 | |
| 601615 | Ming Yang Smart | 0.13 | 2 per month | 2.40 | 0.11 | 7.35 | (4.15) | 18.14 | |
| 002623 | Changzhou Almaden Co | 0.93 | 2 per month | 2.79 | 0.02 | 5.05 | (3.51) | 18.54 | |
| 300261 | Aba Chemicals Corp | (0.32) | 2 per month | 4.10 | 0.08 | 12.80 | (6.69) | 30.23 | |
| 159681 | 159681 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.94 | 0.10 | 8.99 | (4.00) | 36.32 | |
| 300729 | Loctek Ergonomic Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.78 | 0.11 | 6.27 | (2.63) | 24.80 | |
| 688391 | Hi Trend TechCo | 2.84 | 1 per month | 3.61 | 0.07 | 6.33 | (5.00) | 34.22 | |
| 300590 | Queclink Wireless Solutions | 0.64 | 2 per month | 3.87 | 0.07 | 5.96 | (5.99) | 36.78 |
Shanxi Lanhua Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Shanxi price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shanxi using various technical indicators. When you analyze Shanxi charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Shanxi Lanhua Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Shanxi Lanhua stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Shanxi Lanhua Sci Tech, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Shanxi Lanhua based on analysis of Shanxi Lanhua hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Shanxi Lanhua's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Shanxi Lanhua's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Shanxi Lanhua
The number of cover stories for Shanxi Lanhua depends on current market conditions and Shanxi Lanhua's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Shanxi Lanhua is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Shanxi Lanhua's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Shanxi Lanhua Short Properties
Shanxi Lanhua's future price predictability will typically decrease when Shanxi Lanhua's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Shanxi Lanhua Sci Tech often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Shanxi Lanhua's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shanxi Lanhua's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 B |
Complementary Tools for Shanxi Stock analysis
When running Shanxi Lanhua's price analysis, check to measure Shanxi Lanhua's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shanxi Lanhua is operating at the current time. Most of Shanxi Lanhua's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shanxi Lanhua's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shanxi Lanhua's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shanxi Lanhua to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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