Cultural Investment (China) Price Prediction

600715 Stock   2.34  0.01  0.43%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Cultural Investment's the stock price is about 66. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 23rd of November 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Cultural, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

66

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Cultural Investment's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cultural Investment Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Cultural Investment's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.26)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.47)
Using Cultural Investment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cultural Investment Holdings from the perspective of Cultural Investment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cultural Investment to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cultural because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Cultural Investment after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 2.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Cultural Investment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.894.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.042.185.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.342.342.34
Details

Cultural Investment After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Cultural Investment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cultural Investment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cultural Investment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Cultural Investment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Cultural Investment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cultural Investment's historical news coverage. Cultural Investment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.12 and 5.33, respectively. We have considered Cultural Investment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.34
2.40
After-hype Price
5.33
Upside
Cultural Investment is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cultural Investment is based on 3 months time horizon.

Cultural Investment Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cultural Investment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cultural Investment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cultural Investment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.61 
2.93
  0.06 
  0.01 
2 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.34
2.40
2.56 
2,930  
Notes

Cultural Investment Hype Timeline

Cultural Investment is presently traded for 2.34on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Cultural is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.4 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 2.56%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.61%. The volatility of related hype on Cultural Investment is about 13022.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.33. Cultural Investment Holdings has accumulated 4.15 B in total debt. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Cultural Investment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Cultural Investment Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Cultural Investment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cultural Investment's future price movements. Getting to know how Cultural Investment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cultural Investment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
601288Agricultural Bank of(0.15)1 per month 1.97 (0.06) 3.21 (3.89) 8.24 
601398Industrial and Commercial 0.04 2 per month 1.58 (0.06) 2.83 (3.06) 8.14 
601988Bank of China 0.14 3 per month 1.51 (0.03) 2.67 (2.86) 7.70 
601857PetroChina Co Ltd(0.09)2 per month 0.00 (0.11) 3.43 (3.33) 17.17 
600028China Petroleum Chemical 0.06 2 per month 0.00 (0.1) 4.21 (3.26) 10.77 
601658Postal Savings Bank(0.12)2 per month 1.79  0.01  3.49 (2.84) 9.13 
601728China Telecom Corp(0.06)2 per month 1.77  0.04  3.49 (3.17) 11.12 
601816Beijing Shanghai High Speed 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.14 (2.43) 11.88 

Cultural Investment Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Cultural price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cultural using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cultural charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Cultural Investment Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Cultural Investment stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cultural Investment Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cultural Investment based on analysis of Cultural Investment hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cultural Investment's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cultural Investment's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Cultural Investment

The number of cover stories for Cultural Investment depends on current market conditions and Cultural Investment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cultural Investment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cultural Investment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Cultural Investment Short Properties

Cultural Investment's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cultural Investment's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cultural Investment Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cultural Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cultural Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.9 B

Complementary Tools for Cultural Stock analysis

When running Cultural Investment's price analysis, check to measure Cultural Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cultural Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Cultural Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cultural Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cultural Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cultural Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
Economic Indicators
Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Odds Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Fundamental Analysis
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas