Longjian Road (China) Price Prediction

600853 Stock   3.72  0.12  3.12%   
The relative strength momentum indicator of Longjian Road's the stock price is about 66. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 22nd of November 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Longjian, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

66

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Longjian Road's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Longjian Road Bridge, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Longjian Road's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.278
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.448
Using Longjian Road hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Longjian Road Bridge from the perspective of Longjian Road response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Longjian Road to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Longjian because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Longjian Road after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 3.85  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Longjian Road Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.643.115.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.313.786.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.563.844.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Longjian Road. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Longjian Road's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Longjian Road's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Longjian Road Bridge.

Longjian Road After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Longjian Road at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Longjian Road or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Longjian Road, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Longjian Road Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Longjian Road's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Longjian Road's historical news coverage. Longjian Road's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.38 and 6.32, respectively. We have considered Longjian Road's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.72
3.85
After-hype Price
6.32
Upside
Longjian Road is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Longjian Road Bridge is based on 3 months time horizon.

Longjian Road Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Longjian Road is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Longjian Road backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Longjian Road, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.37 
2.51
  0.01 
  0.03 
1 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.72
3.85
0.52 
6,275  
Notes

Longjian Road Hype Timeline

Longjian Road Bridge is presently traded for 3.72on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Longjian is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 3.85 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 0.52%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Longjian Road is about 2933.77%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.75. The company reported the revenue of 17.43 B. Net Income was 334.14 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 478.15 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Longjian Road Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Longjian Road Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Longjian Road's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Longjian Road's future price movements. Getting to know how Longjian Road's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Longjian Road may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
300841Chengdu Kanghua Biological(1.73)1 per month 3.41  0.03  4.85 (5.63) 32.68 
603392Beijing Wantai Biological 1.40 1 per month 2.03  0.02  3.90 (3.21) 16.51 
688137Suzhou Novoprotein Scientific 0.00 0 per month 2.60  0.05  5.14 (3.13) 22.24 
601600Aluminum Corp of 0.46 5 per month 2.69  0.07  6.09 (3.93) 17.74 
300364COL Digital Publishing(0.52)1 per month 4.27  0.12  9.53 (7.32) 34.75 
001299Shaanxi Meineng Clean 0.06 8 per month 2.07  0.06  4.14 (3.42) 15.29 
000995Gansu Huangtai Wine marketing 2.02 1 per month 4.01  0.12  10.00 (6.74) 20.01 
600223Lushang Property Co 0.08 1 per month 2.36  0.02  4.58 (3.11) 16.41 
605168Threes Company Media(1.00)2 per month 3.14  0.1  8.18 (5.78) 19.99 

Longjian Road Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Longjian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Longjian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Longjian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Longjian Road Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Longjian Road stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Longjian Road Bridge, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Longjian Road based on analysis of Longjian Road hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Longjian Road's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Longjian Road's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Longjian Road

The number of cover stories for Longjian Road depends on current market conditions and Longjian Road's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Longjian Road is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Longjian Road's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Longjian Road Short Properties

Longjian Road's future price predictability will typically decrease when Longjian Road's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Longjian Road Bridge often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Longjian Road's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Longjian Road's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB

Complementary Tools for Longjian Stock analysis

When running Longjian Road's price analysis, check to measure Longjian Road's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Longjian Road is operating at the current time. Most of Longjian Road's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Longjian Road's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Longjian Road's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Longjian Road to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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