Cinda Securities (China) Price Prediction

601059 Stock   15.19  0.32  2.15%   
As of 30th of November 2024, the relative strength indicator of Cinda Securities' share price is approaching 45. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Cinda Securities, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

45

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Cinda Securities' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cinda Securities Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Cinda Securities' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.27)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.09)
Using Cinda Securities hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cinda Securities Co from the perspective of Cinda Securities response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cinda Securities to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cinda because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Cinda Securities after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 14.9  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Cinda Securities Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.2312.8316.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.3913.9917.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.4415.0815.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cinda Securities. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cinda Securities' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cinda Securities' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cinda Securities.

Cinda Securities After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Cinda Securities at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cinda Securities or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cinda Securities, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Cinda Securities Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Cinda Securities' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cinda Securities' historical news coverage. Cinda Securities' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.30 and 18.50, respectively. We have considered Cinda Securities' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
15.19
14.90
After-hype Price
18.50
Upside
Cinda Securities is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cinda Securities is based on 3 months time horizon.

Cinda Securities Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cinda Securities is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cinda Securities backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cinda Securities, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.42 
3.60
  0.29 
  1.09 
2 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
15.19
14.90
1.91 
514.29  
Notes

Cinda Securities Hype Timeline

Cinda Securities is presently traded for 15.19on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.29, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.09. Cinda is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 14.9. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -1.91%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.42%. The volatility of related hype on Cinda Securities is about 138.34%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.28. About 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds. The book value of Cinda Securities was presently reported as 5.66. The company last dividend was issued on the 25th of October 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Cinda Securities Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Cinda Securities Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Cinda Securities' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cinda Securities' future price movements. Getting to know how Cinda Securities' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cinda Securities may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
688235BeiGene 5.65 3 per month 2.93  0.06  6.23 (4.77) 18.86 
600519Kweichow Moutai Co 0.00 0 per month 1.87  0  6.55 (2.98) 16.71 
688169Beijing Roborock Technology(2.92)1 per month 4.18  0.01  6.51 (5.72) 34.80 
603444G bits Network Technology(4.18)1 per month 3.13  0.04  5.21 (4.79) 18.75 
600941China Mobile Limited 0.71 2 per month 1.15 (0.07) 2.05 (2.04) 8.38 
688399Jiangsu Bioperfectus Technologies 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 4.07 (4.33) 20.86 
000661Changchun High New 4.90 2 per month 2.03  0.10  7.55 (3.42) 17.13 
002371NAURA Technology Group 15.10 3 per month 2.13  0.10  9.80 (3.99) 15.93 
300750Contemporary Amperex Technology 4.16 1 per month 3.13  0.13  7.94 (3.41) 33.42 

Cinda Securities Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Cinda price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cinda using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cinda charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Cinda Securities Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Cinda Securities stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cinda Securities Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cinda Securities based on analysis of Cinda Securities hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cinda Securities's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cinda Securities's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Cinda Securities

The number of cover stories for Cinda Securities depends on current market conditions and Cinda Securities' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cinda Securities is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cinda Securities' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Complementary Tools for Cinda Stock analysis

When running Cinda Securities' price analysis, check to measure Cinda Securities' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cinda Securities is operating at the current time. Most of Cinda Securities' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cinda Securities' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cinda Securities' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cinda Securities to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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