Western Mining (China) Price Prediction

601168 Stock   16.79  0.16  0.94%   
As of 26th of November 2024, The relative strength momentum indicator of Western Mining's share price is at 54. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Western Mining, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

54

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Western Mining's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Western Mining Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Western Mining's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.624
Wall Street Target Price
21.67
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.23
Using Western Mining hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Western Mining Co from the perspective of Western Mining response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Western Mining to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Western because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Western Mining after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 16.8  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Western Mining Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.5414.0818.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.2816.8219.36
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Western Mining. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Western Mining's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Western Mining's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Western Mining.

Western Mining After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Western Mining at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Western Mining or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Western Mining, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Western Mining Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Western Mining's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Western Mining's historical news coverage. Western Mining's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.26 and 19.34, respectively. We have considered Western Mining's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
16.79
16.80
After-hype Price
19.34
Upside
Western Mining is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Western Mining is based on 3 months time horizon.

Western Mining Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Western Mining is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Western Mining backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Western Mining, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.20 
2.55
  0.01 
  0.04 
2 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
16.79
16.80
0.06 
6,375  
Notes

Western Mining Hype Timeline

Western Mining is presently traded for 16.79on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Western is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 16.8 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Western Mining is about 1231.88%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.83. The company reported the revenue of 42.75 B. Net Income was 2.79 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.68 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Western Mining Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Western Mining Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Western Mining's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Western Mining's future price movements. Getting to know how Western Mining's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Western Mining may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
601899Zijin Mining Group 0.21 2 per month 2.14 (0.03) 3.35 (3.39) 10.10 
600309Wanhua Chemical Group 2.20 3 per month 2.23 (0.02) 3.92 (3.47) 16.38 
600019Baoshan Iron Steel 0.01 3 per month 2.14  0.0005  4.80 (2.68) 17.37 
600547Shandong Gold Mining(0.35)3 per month 0.00 (0.15) 3.52 (3.29) 12.15 
002493Rongsheng Petrochemical Co(0.06)3 per month 2.07 (0) 4.12 (3.38) 15.52 
600010Inner Mongolia BaoTou 0.03 2 per month 2.27  0.12  7.46 (4.00) 19.48 
002460Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium 0.00 0 per month 3.15  0.14  9.99 (5.78) 20.00 
603260Hoshine Silicon Ind 0.00 0 per month 2.56  0.09  4.90 (4.13) 17.89 
600160Zhejiang Juhua Co 0.21 1 per month 2.42  0.04  5.26 (4.85) 14.99 
000807Yunnan Aluminium Co(0.18)1 per month 2.27  0.07  4.73 (3.27) 15.53 

Western Mining Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Western price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Western using various technical indicators. When you analyze Western charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Western Mining Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Western Mining stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Western Mining Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Western Mining based on analysis of Western Mining hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Western Mining's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Western Mining's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Western Mining

The number of cover stories for Western Mining depends on current market conditions and Western Mining's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Western Mining is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Western Mining's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Western Mining Short Properties

Western Mining's future price predictability will typically decrease when Western Mining's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Western Mining Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Western Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Western Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.4 B

Complementary Tools for Western Stock analysis

When running Western Mining's price analysis, check to measure Western Mining's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Western Mining is operating at the current time. Most of Western Mining's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Western Mining's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Western Mining's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Western Mining to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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