China Satellite (China) Price Prediction

601698 Stock   21.17  1.40  6.20%   
As of 23rd of November 2024 The relative strength index (RSI) of China Satellite's share price is above 80 . This suggests that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Oversold Vs Overbought

85

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of China Satellite's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with China Satellite Communications, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting China Satellite's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.47)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
Using China Satellite hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of China Satellite Communications from the perspective of China Satellite response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in China Satellite to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying China because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

China Satellite after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 21.39  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out China Satellite Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.0920.4024.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.4219.7324.05
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as China Satellite. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against China Satellite's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, China Satellite's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in China Satellite Comm.

China Satellite After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of China Satellite at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in China Satellite or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of China Satellite, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

China Satellite Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting China Satellite's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on China Satellite's historical news coverage. China Satellite's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.08 and 25.70, respectively. We have considered China Satellite's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
21.17
21.39
After-hype Price
25.70
Upside
China Satellite is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of China Satellite Comm is based on 3 months time horizon.

China Satellite Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as China Satellite is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading China Satellite backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with China Satellite, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.70 
4.31
  0.22 
  0.25 
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
21.17
21.39
1.04 
1,390  
Notes

China Satellite Hype Timeline

China Satellite Comm is presently traded for 21.17on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.22, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.25. China is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 21.39 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 1.04%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.7%. The volatility of related hype on China Satellite is about 1206.8%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.42. The company reported the revenue of 2.62 B. Net Income was 348.77 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 990.5 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out China Satellite Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

China Satellite Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to China Satellite's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict China Satellite's future price movements. Getting to know how China Satellite's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how China Satellite may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
002454Songz Automobile Air 0.30 1 per month 2.14  0.09  4.14 (3.51) 15.98 
601969Hainan Mining Co 0.32 2 per month 2.46  0.07  4.74 (3.78) 20.01 
300099Uroica Mining Safety 0.00 0 per month 3.43  0.1  5.22 (6.21) 27.46 
300221Guangdong Silvere Sci 0.21 1 per month 4.36  0.09  6.33 (5.83) 28.98 
000603Shengda Mining Co 1.36 1 per month 2.30  0.07  5.26 (3.83) 17.21 
601020Tibet Huayu Mining 0.00 0 per month 3.14  0.04  9.27 (5.22) 20.06 
600490Pengxin International Mining 0.31 2 per month 2.38  0.16  9.81 (3.64) 20.01 

China Satellite Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine China price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for China using various technical indicators. When you analyze China charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About China Satellite Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of China Satellite stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as China Satellite Communications, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of China Satellite based on analysis of China Satellite hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to China Satellite's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to China Satellite's related companies.

Story Coverage note for China Satellite

The number of cover stories for China Satellite depends on current market conditions and China Satellite's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that China Satellite is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about China Satellite's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

China Satellite Short Properties

China Satellite's future price predictability will typically decrease when China Satellite's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of China Satellite Communications often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential China Satellite's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Satellite's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.2 B

Complementary Tools for China Stock analysis

When running China Satellite's price analysis, check to measure China Satellite's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Satellite is operating at the current time. Most of China Satellite's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Satellite's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Satellite's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Satellite to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Portfolio Backtesting
Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Analyst Advice
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories