Southern PublishingMedia (China) Price Prediction
| 601900 Stock | 15.03 0.75 5.25% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
61
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.13) | Wall Street Target Price 18.37 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.027 |
Using Southern PublishingMedia hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Southern PublishingMedia Co from the perspective of Southern PublishingMedia response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Southern PublishingMedia to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Southern because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Southern PublishingMedia after-hype prediction price | CNY 14.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Southern |
Southern PublishingMedia After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Southern PublishingMedia at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Southern PublishingMedia or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Southern PublishingMedia, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Southern PublishingMedia Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Southern PublishingMedia's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Southern PublishingMedia's historical news coverage. Southern PublishingMedia's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.89 and 17.43, respectively. We have considered Southern PublishingMedia's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Southern PublishingMedia is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Southern PublishingMedia is based on 3 months time horizon.
Southern PublishingMedia Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Southern PublishingMedia is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Southern PublishingMedia backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Southern PublishingMedia, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 3.27 | 0.12 | 0.02 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.03 | 14.16 | 0.84 |
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Southern PublishingMedia Hype Timeline
Southern PublishingMedia is presently traded for 15.03on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Southern is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 14.16. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.84%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.4%. The volatility of related hype on Southern PublishingMedia is about 6540.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.05. About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.6. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Southern PublishingMedia last dividend was issued on the 1st of July 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Southern PublishingMedia Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Southern PublishingMedia Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Southern PublishingMedia's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Southern PublishingMedia's future price movements. Getting to know how Southern PublishingMedia's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Southern PublishingMedia may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 002594 | BYD Co Ltd | 0.45 | 2 per month | 1.94 | 0.05 | 5.74 | (3.34) | 14.84 | |
| 601288 | Agricultural Bank of | (0.15) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.21 | (3.89) | 8.24 | |
| 601398 | Industrial and Commercial | (0.04) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.83 | (3.06) | 8.14 | |
| 601668 | China State Construction | 0.02 | 1 per month | 2.53 | (0.0007) | 5.25 | (3.97) | 15.78 | |
| 601939 | China Construction Bank | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.32 | (3.86) | 8.64 | |
| 601857 | PetroChina Co Ltd | (0.09) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.43 | (3.33) | 17.17 | |
| 600028 | China Petroleum Chemical | 0.06 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.21 | (3.26) | 10.77 | |
| 601988 | Bank of China | 0.14 | 3 per month | 1.48 | (0.05) | 2.67 | (2.86) | 7.70 |
Southern PublishingMedia Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Southern price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Southern using various technical indicators. When you analyze Southern charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Southern PublishingMedia Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Southern PublishingMedia stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Southern PublishingMedia Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Southern PublishingMedia based on analysis of Southern PublishingMedia hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Southern PublishingMedia's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Southern PublishingMedia's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Southern PublishingMedia
The number of cover stories for Southern PublishingMedia depends on current market conditions and Southern PublishingMedia's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Southern PublishingMedia is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Southern PublishingMedia's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Southern PublishingMedia Short Properties
Southern PublishingMedia's future price predictability will typically decrease when Southern PublishingMedia's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Southern PublishingMedia Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Southern PublishingMedia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Southern PublishingMedia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 895.9 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 455.1 M | |
| Shares Float | 314.3 M |
Complementary Tools for Southern Stock analysis
When running Southern PublishingMedia's price analysis, check to measure Southern PublishingMedia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Southern PublishingMedia is operating at the current time. Most of Southern PublishingMedia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Southern PublishingMedia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Southern PublishingMedia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Southern PublishingMedia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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