China International (China) Price Prediction

601995 Stock   35.56  0.61  1.75%   
As of 29th of November 2024, The relative strength indicator of China International's share price is at 53. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling China International, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

53

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of China International's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with China International Capital, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting China International's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.42)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.39
Wall Street Target Price
38.53
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.36
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.153
Using China International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of China International Capital from the perspective of China International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in China International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying China because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

China International after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 34.69  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out China International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.3729.2338.45
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as China International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against China International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, China International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in China International.

China International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of China International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in China International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of China International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

China International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting China International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on China International's historical news coverage. China International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.83 and 38.55, respectively. We have considered China International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
35.56
34.69
After-hype Price
38.55
Upside
China International is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of China International is based on 3 months time horizon.

China International Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as China International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading China International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with China International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.50 
3.86
  0.26 
  0.07 
3 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
35.56
34.69
0.74 
742.31  
Notes

China International Hype Timeline

China International is presently traded for 35.56on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. China is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 34.69. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.74%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.5%. The volatility of related hype on China International is about 2885.98%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.63. About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.6. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. China International last dividend was issued on the 23rd of August 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out China International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

China International Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to China International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict China International's future price movements. Getting to know how China International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how China International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
002173Innovative Medical Management(0.19)2 per month 3.91  0.12  6.93 (6.37) 19.23 
508096AVIC Fund Management 0.04 2 per month 0.23 (0.32) 0.71 (0.41) 1.83 
600079Humanwell Healthcare Group 1.24 1 per month 2.37  0.05  6.09 (4.26) 14.44 
301408Anhui Huaren Health 0.45 1 per month 3.44  0.06  7.85 (5.13) 28.14 
002935Chengdu Spaceon Electronics 0.00 0 per month 2.92  0.10  7.09 (5.95) 17.43 
301507Hangzhou Minsheng Healthcare 0.00 0 per month 3.53 (0.01) 4.32 (4.67) 26.26 
000813Dezhan HealthCare Co 0.1 1 per month 2.26  0.12  4.33 (3.81) 17.04 
002065Dhc Software Co(0.57)2 per month 3.00  0.20  9.97 (4.46) 19.97 

China International Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine China price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for China using various technical indicators. When you analyze China charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About China International Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of China International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as China International Capital, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of China International based on analysis of China International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to China International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to China International's related companies.

Story Coverage note for China International

The number of cover stories for China International depends on current market conditions and China International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that China International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about China International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

China International Short Properties

China International's future price predictability will typically decrease when China International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of China International Capital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential China International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.8 B

Complementary Tools for China Stock analysis

When running China International's price analysis, check to measure China International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China International is operating at the current time. Most of China International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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